LAPSE:2023.16993
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.16993
Energy and Carbon Emission Efficiency Prediction: Applications in Future Transport Manufacturing
March 6, 2023
Abstract
The long-term impact of high-energy consumption in the manufacturing sector results in adverse environmental effects. Energy consumption and carbon emission prediction in the production environment is an essential requirement to mitigate climate change. The aim of this paper is to evaluate, model, construct, and validate the electricity generated data errors of an automotive component manufacturing company in South Africa for prediction of future transport manufacturing energy consumption and carbon emissions. The energy consumption and carbon emission data of an automotive component manufacturing company were explored for decision making, using data from 2016 to 2018 for prediction of future transport manufacturing energy consumption. The result is an ARIMA model with regression-correlated error fittings in the generalized least squares estimation of future forecast values for five years. The result is validated with RSS, showing an improvement of 89.61% in AR and 99.1% in MA when combined and an RMSE value of 449.8932 at a confidence level of 95%. This paper proposes a model for efficient prediction of energy consumption and carbon emissions for better decision making and utilize appropriate precautions to improve eco-friendly operation.
The long-term impact of high-energy consumption in the manufacturing sector results in adverse environmental effects. Energy consumption and carbon emission prediction in the production environment is an essential requirement to mitigate climate change. The aim of this paper is to evaluate, model, construct, and validate the electricity generated data errors of an automotive component manufacturing company in South Africa for prediction of future transport manufacturing energy consumption and carbon emissions. The energy consumption and carbon emission data of an automotive component manufacturing company were explored for decision making, using data from 2016 to 2018 for prediction of future transport manufacturing energy consumption. The result is an ARIMA model with regression-correlated error fittings in the generalized least squares estimation of future forecast values for five years. The result is validated with RSS, showing an improvement of 89.61% in AR and 99.1% in MA when combined and an RMSE value of 449.8932 at a confidence level of 95%. This paper proposes a model for efficient prediction of energy consumption and carbon emissions for better decision making and utilize appropriate precautions to improve eco-friendly operation.
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Keywords
ARIMA, carbon dioxide emission, energy consumption, Energy Efficiency
Subject
Suggested Citation
Modise RK, Mpofu K, Adenuga OT. Energy and Carbon Emission Efficiency Prediction: Applications in Future Transport Manufacturing. (2023). LAPSE:2023.16993
Author Affiliations
Modise RK: Department of Industrial Engineering, Tshwane University of Technology, Pretoria 0001, South Africa [ORCID]
Mpofu K: Department of Industrial Engineering, Tshwane University of Technology, Pretoria 0001, South Africa [ORCID]
Adenuga OT: Department of Industrial Engineering, Tshwane University of Technology, Pretoria 0001, South Africa [ORCID]
Mpofu K: Department of Industrial Engineering, Tshwane University of Technology, Pretoria 0001, South Africa [ORCID]
Adenuga OT: Department of Industrial Engineering, Tshwane University of Technology, Pretoria 0001, South Africa [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
24
First Page
8466
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-12-15
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en14248466, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.16993
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en14248466
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Mar 6, 2023
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