LAPSE:2023.16931
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.16931
Relationship between Visibility, Air Pollution Index and Annual Mortality Rate in Association with the Occurrence of Rainfall—A Probabilistic Approach
March 3, 2023
Abstract
An innovative method was proposed to facilitate the analyses of meteorological conditions and selected air pollution indices’ influence on visibility, air quality index and mortality. The constructed calculation algorithm is dedicated to simulating the visibility in a single episode, first of all. It was derived after applying logistic regression methodology. It should be stressed that eight visibility thresholds (Vis) were adopted in order to build proper classification models with a number of relevant advantages. At first, there exists the possibility to analyze the impact of independent variables on visibility with the consideration of its’ real variability. Secondly, through the application of the Monte Carlo method and the assumed classification algorithms, it was made possible to model the number of days during a precipitation and no-precipitation periods in a yearly cycle, on which the visibility ranged practically: Vis < 8; Vis = 8−12 km, Vis = 12−16 km, Vis = 16−20 km, Vis = 20−24 km, Vis = 24−28 km, Vis = 28−32 km, Vis > 32 km. The derived algorithm proved a particular role of precipitation and no-precipitation periods in shaping the air visibility phenomena. Higher visibility values and a lower number of days with increased visibility were found for the precipitation period contrary to no-precipitation one. The air quality index was lower for precipitation days, and moreover, strong, non-linear relationships were found between mortality and visibility, considering precipitation and seasonality effects.
Keywords
air pollution index, ambient air pollution, annual mortality, human health, probabilistic approach, rainfall, visibility
Suggested Citation
Majewski G, Szeląg B, Białek A, Stachura M, Wodecka B, Anioł E, Wdowiak T, Brandyk A, Rogula-Kozłowska W, Łagód G. Relationship between Visibility, Air Pollution Index and Annual Mortality Rate in Association with the Occurrence of Rainfall—A Probabilistic Approach. (2023). LAPSE:2023.16931
Author Affiliations
Majewski G: Institute of Environmental Engineering, Warsaw University of Life Sciences—SGGW, 02-787 Warsaw, Poland [ORCID]
Szeląg B: Faculty of Environmental, Geomatic and Energy Engineering, Kielce University of Technology, 25-314 Kielce, Poland [ORCID]
Białek A: Faculty of Environmental, Geomatic and Energy Engineering, Kielce University of Technology, 25-314 Kielce, Poland
Stachura M: Faculty of Law and Social Sciences, Jan Kochanowski University, 25-369 Kielce, Poland [ORCID]
Wodecka B: Faculty of Law and Social Sciences, Jan Kochanowski University, 25-369 Kielce, Poland [ORCID]
Anioł E: Institute of Environmental Engineering, Warsaw University of Life Sciences—SGGW, 02-787 Warsaw, Poland [ORCID]
Wdowiak T: Institute of Safety Engineering, The Main School of Fire Service, 01-629 Warsaw, Poland
Brandyk A: Institute of Environmental Engineering, Warsaw University of Life Sciences—SGGW, 02-787 Warsaw, Poland
Rogula-Kozłowska W: Institute of Safety Engineering, The Main School of Fire Service, 01-629 Warsaw, Poland [ORCID]
Łagód G: Faculty of Environmental Engineering, Lublin University of Technology, 20-618 Lublin, Poland [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
24
First Page
8397
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-12-13
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en14248397, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.16931
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en14248397
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