LAPSE:2023.15844v1
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.15844v1
Analysis of Electricity and Natural Gas Security. A Case Study for Germany, France, Italy and Spain
March 2, 2023
Abstract
This work aims to present an analysis of electricity and natural gas supply security in the four European Union countries with the highest level of consumption, namely Germany, France, Italy, and Spain. The goal of the study is to use and adapt a set of 22 indicators for estimating the level of energy security. The evaluation of an index called “Energy Security Level”, measuring the overall energy security, is performed for the period 2006−2018 in order to compare its evolution in each of the analyzed countries. The application of the proposed indicator system demonstrates which measures weakened or strengthened energy security in the past. The analysis of the energy security level demonstrates that Germany and France perform better than Italy and Spain in terms of energy security assurance. The main factors for these differences are the rich energy mix for Germany and the massive presence of nuclear power in France. These two elements make German and French energy systems more resilient than the Italian and Spanish ones. The results of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis demonstrate that the initial values of indicator weights have low impact on the uncertainty of energy security level estimations.
This work aims to present an analysis of electricity and natural gas supply security in the four European Union countries with the highest level of consumption, namely Germany, France, Italy, and Spain. The goal of the study is to use and adapt a set of 22 indicators for estimating the level of energy security. The evaluation of an index called “Energy Security Level”, measuring the overall energy security, is performed for the period 2006−2018 in order to compare its evolution in each of the analyzed countries. The application of the proposed indicator system demonstrates which measures weakened or strengthened energy security in the past. The analysis of the energy security level demonstrates that Germany and France perform better than Italy and Spain in terms of energy security assurance. The main factors for these differences are the rich energy mix for Germany and the massive presence of nuclear power in France. These two elements make German and French energy systems more resilient than the Italian and Spanish ones. The results of sensitivity and uncertainty analysis demonstrate that the initial values of indicator weights have low impact on the uncertainty of energy security level estimations.
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Keywords
electricity, energy security, indicators, Natural Gas
Subject
Suggested Citation
Krikštolaitis R, Bianco V, Martišauskas L, Urbonienė S. Analysis of Electricity and Natural Gas Security. A Case Study for Germany, France, Italy and Spain. (2023). LAPSE:2023.15844v1
Author Affiliations
Krikštolaitis R: Department of Mathematics ad Statistics, Faculty of Informatics, Vytautas Magnus University, Vileikos 8, 44404 Kaunas, Lithuania; Laboratory of Nuclear Installation Safety, Lithuanian Energy Institute, Breslaujos 3, 44403 Kaunas, Lithuania [ORCID]
Bianco V: Division of Thermal Energy and Environmental Conditioning, Polytechnic School, University of Genoa—DIME/TEC, Via All’Opera Pia 15/A, 16145 Genova, Italy [ORCID]
Martišauskas L: Department of Mathematics ad Statistics, Faculty of Informatics, Vytautas Magnus University, Vileikos 8, 44404 Kaunas, Lithuania; Laboratory of Nuclear Installation Safety, Lithuanian Energy Institute, Breslaujos 3, 44403 Kaunas, Lithuania [ORCID]
Urbonienė S: Department of Mathematics ad Statistics, Faculty of Informatics, Vytautas Magnus University, Vileikos 8, 44404 Kaunas, Lithuania
Bianco V: Division of Thermal Energy and Environmental Conditioning, Polytechnic School, University of Genoa—DIME/TEC, Via All’Opera Pia 15/A, 16145 Genova, Italy [ORCID]
Martišauskas L: Department of Mathematics ad Statistics, Faculty of Informatics, Vytautas Magnus University, Vileikos 8, 44404 Kaunas, Lithuania; Laboratory of Nuclear Installation Safety, Lithuanian Energy Institute, Breslaujos 3, 44403 Kaunas, Lithuania [ORCID]
Urbonienė S: Department of Mathematics ad Statistics, Faculty of Informatics, Vytautas Magnus University, Vileikos 8, 44404 Kaunas, Lithuania
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
15
Issue
3
First Page
1000
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-01-29
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en15031000, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.15844v1
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en15031000
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