LAPSE:2023.9584
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.9584
State-of-the-Art Using Bibliometric Analysis of Wind-Speed and -Power Forecasting Methods Applied in Power Systems
February 27, 2023
Abstract
The integration of wind energy into power systems has intensified as a result of the urgency for global energy transition. This requires more accurate forecasting techniques that can capture the variability of the wind resource to achieve better operative performance of power systems. This paper presents an exhaustive review of the state-of-the-art of wind-speed and -power forecasting models for wind turbines located in different segments of power systems, i.e., in large wind farms, distributed generation, microgrids, and micro-wind turbines installed in residences and buildings. This review covers forecasting models based on statistical and physical, artificial intelligence, and hybrid methods, with deterministic or probabilistic approaches. The literature review is carried out through a bibliometric analysis using VOSviewer and Pajek software. A discussion of the results is carried out, taking as the main approach the forecast time horizon of the models to identify their applications. The trends indicate a predominance of hybrid forecast models for the analysis of power systems, especially for those with high penetration of wind power. Finally, it is determined that most of the papers analyzed belong to the very short-term horizon, which indicates that the interest of researchers is in this time horizon.
The integration of wind energy into power systems has intensified as a result of the urgency for global energy transition. This requires more accurate forecasting techniques that can capture the variability of the wind resource to achieve better operative performance of power systems. This paper presents an exhaustive review of the state-of-the-art of wind-speed and -power forecasting models for wind turbines located in different segments of power systems, i.e., in large wind farms, distributed generation, microgrids, and micro-wind turbines installed in residences and buildings. This review covers forecasting models based on statistical and physical, artificial intelligence, and hybrid methods, with deterministic or probabilistic approaches. The literature review is carried out through a bibliometric analysis using VOSviewer and Pajek software. A discussion of the results is carried out, taking as the main approach the forecast time horizon of the models to identify their applications. The trends indicate a predominance of hybrid forecast models for the analysis of power systems, especially for those with high penetration of wind power. Finally, it is determined that most of the papers analyzed belong to the very short-term horizon, which indicates that the interest of researchers is in this time horizon.
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Keywords
distributed generation, microgrid, residential, urban, wind power forecasting, wind speed forecasting
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Suggested Citation
Lagos A, Caicedo JE, Coria G, Quete AR, Martínez M, Suvire G, Riquelme J. State-of-the-Art Using Bibliometric Analysis of Wind-Speed and -Power Forecasting Methods Applied in Power Systems. (2023). LAPSE:2023.9584
Author Affiliations
Lagos A: Instituto de Energía Eléctrica, Universidad Nacional de San Juan, San Juan 5400, Argentina
Caicedo JE: Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Distrital Francisco José de Caldas, Bogotá 110311, Colombia [ORCID]
Coria G: Instituto de Energía Eléctrica, Universidad Nacional de San Juan, San Juan 5400, Argentina [ORCID]
Quete AR: Instituto de Energía Eléctrica, Universidad Nacional de San Juan, San Juan 5400, Argentina [ORCID]
Martínez M: Instituto de Energía Eléctrica, Universidad Nacional de San Juan, San Juan 5400, Argentina [ORCID]
Suvire G: Instituto de Energía Eléctrica, Universidad Nacional de San Juan, San Juan 5400, Argentina
Riquelme J: Departamento de Ingeniería Eléctrica, Universidad de Sevilla, 41092 Sevilla, Spain [ORCID]
Caicedo JE: Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad Distrital Francisco José de Caldas, Bogotá 110311, Colombia [ORCID]
Coria G: Instituto de Energía Eléctrica, Universidad Nacional de San Juan, San Juan 5400, Argentina [ORCID]
Quete AR: Instituto de Energía Eléctrica, Universidad Nacional de San Juan, San Juan 5400, Argentina [ORCID]
Martínez M: Instituto de Energía Eléctrica, Universidad Nacional de San Juan, San Juan 5400, Argentina [ORCID]
Suvire G: Instituto de Energía Eléctrica, Universidad Nacional de San Juan, San Juan 5400, Argentina
Riquelme J: Departamento de Ingeniería Eléctrica, Universidad de Sevilla, 41092 Sevilla, Spain [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
15
Issue
18
First Page
6545
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-09-07
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en15186545, Publication Type: Review
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LAPSE:2023.9584
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en15186545
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Feb 27, 2023
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