LAPSE:2023.9122
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.9122
Load Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Considering Multi-Source Information and User Decision Modification
February 27, 2023
Abstract
In view of the current multi-source information scenario, this paper proposes a decision-making method for electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs) based on prospect theory, which considers payment cost, time cost, and route factors, and is used for electric vehicle (EV) owners to make decisions when the vehicle’s electricity is low. Combined with the multi-source information architecture composed of an information layer, algorithm layer, and model layer, the load of EVCSs in the region is forecast. In this paper, the Monte Carlo method is used to test the IEEE-30 model and the traffic network based on it, and the spatial and temporal distribution of charging load in the region is obtained, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that EVCS load forecasting based on the prospect theory under the influence of multi-source information will have an impact on the space−time distribution of the EVCS load, which is more consistent with the decisions of EV owners in reality.
In view of the current multi-source information scenario, this paper proposes a decision-making method for electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs) based on prospect theory, which considers payment cost, time cost, and route factors, and is used for electric vehicle (EV) owners to make decisions when the vehicle’s electricity is low. Combined with the multi-source information architecture composed of an information layer, algorithm layer, and model layer, the load of EVCSs in the region is forecast. In this paper, the Monte Carlo method is used to test the IEEE-30 model and the traffic network based on it, and the spatial and temporal distribution of charging load in the region is obtained, which verifies the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results show that EVCS load forecasting based on the prospect theory under the influence of multi-source information will have an impact on the space−time distribution of the EVCS load, which is more consistent with the decisions of EV owners in reality.
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Keywords
electric vehicle, load forecast, multi-source information, prospect theory
Subject
Suggested Citation
Zhuang Z, Zheng X, Chen Z, Jin T, Li Z. Load Forecast of Electric Vehicle Charging Station Considering Multi-Source Information and User Decision Modification. (2023). LAPSE:2023.9122
Author Affiliations
Zhuang Z: College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, China
Zheng X: College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, China
Chen Z: College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, China
Jin T: College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, China
Li Z: China Railway Electric Industry Co., Ltd., Baoding 071051, China
Zheng X: College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, China
Chen Z: College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, China
Jin T: College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350116, China
Li Z: China Railway Electric Industry Co., Ltd., Baoding 071051, China
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
15
Issue
19
First Page
7021
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-09-24
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en15197021, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.9122
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en15197021
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Feb 27, 2023
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