LAPSE:2023.8224
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.8224
An Econometric Model of the Operation of the Steel Industry in POLAND in the Context of Process Heat and Energy Consumption
Bożena Gajdzik, Radosław Wolniak, Wieslaw Wes Grebski
February 24, 2023
The analyses presented in the publication allowed, on the basis of the data collected, development of an econometric model for the Polish steel industry from the point of view of the relationship between heat and energy management in the steel production process. The developed model is the main novelty of the paper. The main objective of the study was to develop an econometric model of Poland’s heat and energy economy. The following research questions were raised: Is there an econometric model describing heat consumption (intensity) in the steel industry in Poland in relation to steel production and the energy economy? What are the relations between heat intensity and energy prices and steel production in Poland? How might the current energy crisis affect steel production? In the analysis we used data of energy and heat management in the Polish steel industry. An econometric model was developed of the dependence of heat consumption (Yt) on electricity prices (X1t) and steel production (X2t) in Poland. The authors took advantage of open access to data. Annual volumes of heat consumption in steel production processes in Poland were analysed as a function of the annual volume of steel production and the prices of electricity, which are consumed in technological processes in steel mills. We analyzed data for years 2004−2020. The analyses carried out showed that there is an inversely proportional relationship between electricity prices and the intensity of heat consumption by the steel industry. Research shows that rising energy prices lead to lower steel production. This is a dangerous phenomenon for the steel industry in the context of the current energy crisis caused by the pandemic and war in Ukraine. We think that the significance of our results is connected with the fact that the developed model is a useful analytical tool, as it not only allows the analysis of historical data, but can also be used to predict how steel industry parameters will change in the future under the influence of changes in external factors, such as energy prices. This gives a wide range of analytical possibilities for the use of the model.
Keywords
econometric model, energy price, heat intensity, Industry 4.0, Polish steel industry, statistical analyses, steel production
Suggested Citation
Gajdzik B, Wolniak R, Grebski WW. An Econometric Model of the Operation of the Steel Industry in POLAND in the Context of Process Heat and Energy Consumption. (2023). LAPSE:2023.8224
Author Affiliations
Gajdzik B: Department of Industrial Informatics, Silesian University of Technology, 40-019 Katowice, Poland [ORCID]
Wolniak R: Department of Organization and Management, Silesian University of Technology, 41-800 Zabrze, Poland [ORCID]
Grebski WW: Penn State Hazleton, Pennsylvania State University, 76 University Drive, Hazleton, PA 18202-8025, USA
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
15
Issue
21
First Page
7909
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-10-25
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en15217909, Publication Type: Journal Article
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doi:10.3390/en15217909
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Feb 24, 2023
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