LAPSE:2023.4233v1
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.4233v1
A Novel Prediction Process of the Remaining Useful Life of Electric Vehicle Battery Using Real-World Data
February 22, 2023
Abstract
In modern society, environmental sustainability is always a top priority, and thus electric vehicles (EVs) equipped with lithium-ion batteries are becoming more and more popular. As a key component of EVs, the remaining useful life of battery directly affects the demand of the EV supply chain. Accurate prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) benefits not only EV users but also the battery inventory management. There are many existing methods to predict RUL based on state of health (SOH), but few of them are suitable for real-world data. There are several difficulties: (1) battery capacity is not easy to obtain in the real world; (2) most of these methods use the individual data for each battery, and the computing processes are difficult to perform in the cloud; (3) there is a lack of approaches for real-time SOH estimating and RUL predicting. This paper adopts several statistical methods to perform the prediction and compars the results of different models on experimental data (NASA dataset). Then, real-world data were implemented for an online process of RUL prediction. The main finding of this research is that the required CPU time was short enough to meet the daily usage after the real-world data was implemented for an online process of RUL prediction. The feasibility and precision of the prediction model can help to support the frequency control in power systems.
In modern society, environmental sustainability is always a top priority, and thus electric vehicles (EVs) equipped with lithium-ion batteries are becoming more and more popular. As a key component of EVs, the remaining useful life of battery directly affects the demand of the EV supply chain. Accurate prediction of the remaining useful life (RUL) benefits not only EV users but also the battery inventory management. There are many existing methods to predict RUL based on state of health (SOH), but few of them are suitable for real-world data. There are several difficulties: (1) battery capacity is not easy to obtain in the real world; (2) most of these methods use the individual data for each battery, and the computing processes are difficult to perform in the cloud; (3) there is a lack of approaches for real-time SOH estimating and RUL predicting. This paper adopts several statistical methods to perform the prediction and compars the results of different models on experimental data (NASA dataset). Then, real-world data were implemented for an online process of RUL prediction. The main finding of this research is that the required CPU time was short enough to meet the daily usage after the real-world data was implemented for an online process of RUL prediction. The feasibility and precision of the prediction model can help to support the frequency control in power systems.
Record ID
Keywords
ARIMA, big data analysis, Lasso regression, Monte-Carlo simulation, remaining useful life
Subject
Suggested Citation
Wang X, Li J, Shia BC, Kao YW, Ho CW, Chen M. A Novel Prediction Process of the Remaining Useful Life of Electric Vehicle Battery Using Real-World Data. (2023). LAPSE:2023.4233v1
Author Affiliations
Wang X: Graduate School of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan
Li J: Graduate School of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan [ORCID]
Shia BC: Graduate School of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan; Artificial Intelligence Development Center, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang [ORCID]
Kao YW: Graduate School of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan; Artificial Intelligence Development Center, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang [ORCID]
Ho CW: Artificial Intelligence Development Center, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan; Department of Life Science, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10617, Taiwan
Chen M: Graduate School of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan; Artificial Intelligence Development Center, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang
Li J: Graduate School of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan [ORCID]
Shia BC: Graduate School of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan; Artificial Intelligence Development Center, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang [ORCID]
Kao YW: Graduate School of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan; Artificial Intelligence Development Center, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang [ORCID]
Ho CW: Artificial Intelligence Development Center, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan; Department of Life Science, National Taiwan University, Taipei 10617, Taiwan
Chen M: Graduate School of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang District, New Taipei City 24205, Taiwan; Artificial Intelligence Development Center, Fu Jen Catholic University, No. 510, Zhongzhen Road, Xinzhuang
Journal Name
Processes
Volume
9
Issue
12
First Page
2174
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-12-02
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
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PII: pr9122174, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.4233v1
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https://doi.org/10.3390/pr9122174
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Feb 22, 2023
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