LAPSE:2023.34955
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.34955
Evaluation of High Resolution WRF Solar
April 28, 2023
The amount of solar irradiation that reaches Earth’s surface is a key quantity of solar energy research and is difficult to predict, because it is directly affected by the changing constituents of the atmosphere. The numerical weather prediction (NWP) model performs computational simulations of the evolution of the entire atmosphere to forecast the future state of the atmosphere based on the current state. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model is a mesoscale NWP. WRF solar is an augmented feature of WRF, which has been improved and configured specifically for solar energy applications. The aim of this paper is to evaluate the performance of the high resolution WRF solar model and compare the results with the low resolution WRF solar and Global Forecasting System (GFS) models. We investigate the performance of WRF solar for a high-resolution spatial domain of resolution 1 × 1 km and compare the results with a 3 × 3 km domain and GFS. The results show error metrices rMAE {23.14%, 24.51%, 27.75%} and rRMSE {35.69%, 36.04%, 37.32%} for high resolution WRF solar, coarse domain WRF solar and GFS, respectively. This confirms that high resolution WRF solar performs better than coarse domain and in general. WRF solar demonstrates statistically significant improvement over GFS.
Keywords
GFS, GHI, NWP, solar forecasting, solar radiation, WRF
Suggested Citation
Thaker J, Höller R. Evaluation of High Resolution WRF Solar. (2023). LAPSE:2023.34955
Author Affiliations
Thaker J: Department of Physics, Carl von Ossietzky Universität Oldenburg, 26129 Oldenburg, Germany [ORCID]
Höller R: School of Engineering, University of Applied Sciences Upper Austria, Stelzhamerstrasse 23, 4600 Wels, Austria [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
16
Issue
8
First Page
3518
Year
2023
Publication Date
2023-04-18
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en16083518, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.34955
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doi:10.3390/en16083518
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