LAPSE:2023.33130
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.33130
The Sliding Window and SHAP Theory—An Improved System with a Long Short-Term Memory Network Model for State of Charge Prediction in Electric Vehicle Application
April 20, 2023
Abstract
The state of charge (SOC) prediction for an electric vehicle battery pack is critical to ensure the reliability, efficiency, and life of the battery pack. Various techniques and statistical systems have been proposed in the past to improve the prediction accuracy, reduce complexity, and increase adaptability. Machine learning techniques have been vigorously introduced in recent years, to be incorporated into the existing prediction algorithms, or as a stand-alone system, with a large amount of recorded past data to interpret the battery characteristics, and further predict for the present and future. This paper presents an overview of the machine learning techniques followed by a proposed pre-processing technique employed as the input to the long short-term memory network (LSTM) algorithm. The proposed pre-processing technique is based on the time-based sliding window algorithm (SW) and the Shapley additive explanation theory (SHAP). The proposed technique showed improvement in accuracy, adaptability, and reliability of SOC prediction when compared to other conventional machine learning models. All the data employed in this investigation were extracted from the actual driving cycle of five different electric vehicles driven by different drivers throughout a year. The computed prediction error, as compared to the original SOC data extracted from the vehicle, was within the range of less than 2%. The proposed enhanced technique also demonstrated the feasibility and robustness of the prediction results through the persistent computed output from a random selection of the data sets, consisting of different driving profiles and ambient conditions.
The state of charge (SOC) prediction for an electric vehicle battery pack is critical to ensure the reliability, efficiency, and life of the battery pack. Various techniques and statistical systems have been proposed in the past to improve the prediction accuracy, reduce complexity, and increase adaptability. Machine learning techniques have been vigorously introduced in recent years, to be incorporated into the existing prediction algorithms, or as a stand-alone system, with a large amount of recorded past data to interpret the battery characteristics, and further predict for the present and future. This paper presents an overview of the machine learning techniques followed by a proposed pre-processing technique employed as the input to the long short-term memory network (LSTM) algorithm. The proposed pre-processing technique is based on the time-based sliding window algorithm (SW) and the Shapley additive explanation theory (SHAP). The proposed technique showed improvement in accuracy, adaptability, and reliability of SOC prediction when compared to other conventional machine learning models. All the data employed in this investigation were extracted from the actual driving cycle of five different electric vehicles driven by different drivers throughout a year. The computed prediction error, as compared to the original SOC data extracted from the vehicle, was within the range of less than 2%. The proposed enhanced technique also demonstrated the feasibility and robustness of the prediction results through the persistent computed output from a random selection of the data sets, consisting of different driving profiles and ambient conditions.
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Keywords
LSTM, SHAP, SOC prediction, time-based sliding window
Subject
Suggested Citation
Gu X, See K, Wang Y, Zhao L, Pu W. The Sliding Window and SHAP Theory—An Improved System with a Long Short-Term Memory Network Model for State of Charge Prediction in Electric Vehicle Application. (2023). LAPSE:2023.33130
Author Affiliations
Gu X: Faculty of Engineering, Institute for Superconducting & Electronic Materials, University of Wollongong, Innovation Campus, Wollongong, NSW 2500, Australia
See K: Faculty of Engineering, Institute for Superconducting & Electronic Materials, University of Wollongong, Innovation Campus, Wollongong, NSW 2500, Australia; Azure Mining Technology, CCTEG, Level 19, 821 Pacific Highway, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia
Wang Y: Azure Mining Technology, CCTEG, Level 19, 821 Pacific Highway, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia
Zhao L: Azure Mining Technology, CCTEG, Level 19, 821 Pacific Highway, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia
Pu W: College of Mechanical and Vehicle Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, China
See K: Faculty of Engineering, Institute for Superconducting & Electronic Materials, University of Wollongong, Innovation Campus, Wollongong, NSW 2500, Australia; Azure Mining Technology, CCTEG, Level 19, 821 Pacific Highway, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia
Wang Y: Azure Mining Technology, CCTEG, Level 19, 821 Pacific Highway, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia
Zhao L: Azure Mining Technology, CCTEG, Level 19, 821 Pacific Highway, Chatswood, NSW 2067, Australia
Pu W: College of Mechanical and Vehicle Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha 410082, China
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
12
First Page
3692
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-06-21
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en14123692, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.33130
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en14123692
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