LAPSE:2023.32922
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.32922
Chiller Load Forecasting Using Hyper-Gaussian Nets
April 20, 2023
Energy load forecasting for optimization of chiller operation is a topic that has been receiving increasing attention in recent years. From an engineering perspective, the methodology for designing and deploying a forecasting system for chiller operation should take into account several issues regarding prediction horizon, available data, selection of variables, model selection and adaptation. In this paper these issues are parsed to develop a neural forecaster. The method combines previous ideas such as basis expansions and local models. In particular, hyper-gaussians are proposed to provide spatial support (in input space) to models that can use auto-regressive, exogenous and past errors as variables, constituting thus a particular case of NARMAX modelling. Tests using real data from different world locations are given showing the expected performance of the proposal with respect to the objectives and allowing a comparison with other approaches.
Keywords
energy consumption prediction, hyper-gaussian, neural approximation, time-series forecasting
Suggested Citation
Arahal MR, Ortega MG, Satué MG. Chiller Load Forecasting Using Hyper-Gaussian Nets. (2023). LAPSE:2023.32922
Author Affiliations
Arahal MR: Systems Engineering and Automation Department, University of Seville, 41092 Seville, Spain [ORCID]
Ortega MG: Systems Engineering and Automation Department, University of Seville, 41092 Seville, Spain [ORCID]
Satué MG: Systems Engineering and Automation Department, University of Seville, 41092 Seville, Spain [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
12
First Page
3479
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-06-11
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en14123479, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.32922
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doi:10.3390/en14123479
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Apr 20, 2023
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