LAPSE:2023.32772
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.32772
Stationarity in the Prices of Energy Commodities. A Nonparametric Approach
Manuel Landajo, María José Presno, Paula Fernández González
April 20, 2023
In this paper, we address the classical problem of testing for stationarity in the prices of energy-related commodities. A panel of fourteen time series of monthly prices is analyzed for the 1980−2020 period. Nine of the series are classical nonrenewable, GHG-emissions-intensive resources (coal, crude oil, natural gas), whereas the remaining, low-emission group includes both uranium and four commodities employed in biofuels (rapeseed, palm, and soybean oils, and ethanol). A nonparametric, bootstrap-based stationarity testing framework is employed. The main advantage of this procedure is its asymptotically model-free nature, being less sensitive than parametric tests to the risks of misspecification and detection of spurious unit roots, although it has the potential limitation of typically requiring larger samples than mainstream tools. Results suggest that most of the series analyzed may be trend stationary. The only exception would be crude oil, where different conclusions are obtained depending on whether a seasonal correction is applied or not.
Keywords
Biofuels, energy commodities, nonparametric, panel, prices, stationarity testing
Suggested Citation
Landajo M, Presno MJ, Fernández González P. Stationarity in the Prices of Energy Commodities. A Nonparametric Approach. (2023). LAPSE:2023.32772
Author Affiliations
Landajo M: Department of Applied Economics, University of Oviedo, Avenida del Cristo, 33011 Oviedo, Spain [ORCID]
Presno MJ: Department of Applied Economics, University of Oviedo, Avenida del Cristo, 33011 Oviedo, Spain
Fernández González P: Department of Applied Economics, University of Oviedo, Avenida del Cristo, 33011 Oviedo, Spain
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
11
First Page
3324
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-06-05
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en14113324, Publication Type: Journal Article
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doi:10.3390/en14113324
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