LAPSE:2023.31867
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.31867
Novel Multi-Time Scale Deep Learning Algorithm for Solar Irradiance Forecasting
April 19, 2023
Solar irradiance forecasting is an inevitable and most significant process in grid-connected photovoltaic systems. Solar power is highly non-linear, and thus to manage the grid operation efficiently, with irradiance forecasting for various timescales, such as an hour ahead, a day ahead, and a week ahead, strategies are developed and analysed in this article. However, the single time scale model can perform better for that specific time scale but cannot be employed for other time scale forecasting. Moreover, the data consideration for single time scale forecasting is limited. In this work, a multi-time scale model for solar irradiance forecasting is proposed based on the multi-task learning algorithm. An effective resource sharing scheme between each task is presented. The proposed multi-task learning algorithm is implemented with a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model and the performance is investigated for various time scale forecasting. The hyperparameter estimation of the proposed LSTM model is made by a hybrid chicken swarm optimizer based on combining the best features of both the chicken swarm optimization algorithm (CSO) and grey wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm. The proposed model is validated, comparing existing methodologies for single timescale forecasting, and the proposed strategy demonstrated highly consistent performance for all time scale forecasting with improved metric results.
Keywords
hybrid CSO-GWO, LSTM, multi-task learning, multi-time scale prediction, solar irradiance forecasting
Suggested Citation
Jayalakshmi NY, Shankar R, Subramaniam U, Baranilingesan I, Karthick A, Stalin B, Rahim R, Ghosh A. Novel Multi-Time Scale Deep Learning Algorithm for Solar Irradiance Forecasting. (2023). LAPSE:2023.31867
Author Affiliations
Jayalakshmi NY: Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Dr. Mahalingam College of Engineering and Technology, Coimbatore 642003, India
Shankar R: Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Teegala Krishna Reddy Engineering College, Hyderabad 500097, India
Subramaniam U: Department of Communications and Networks, Renewable Energy Lab, College of Engineering, Prince Sultan University Riyadh, Riyadh 12435, Saudi Arabia [ORCID]
Baranilingesan I: Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, KPR Institute of Engineering and Technology, Arasur Coimbatore 641047, India [ORCID]
Karthick A: Department of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, KPR Institute of Engineering and Technology, Arasur Coimbatore 641047, India [ORCID]
Stalin B: Department of Mechanical Engineering, Regional Campus Madurai, Anna University, Madurai 625019, India [ORCID]
Rahim R: Department of Informatics Management, Sekolah Tinggi Ilmu Manajemen Sukma, Medan, Sumatera Utara 20219, Indonesia [ORCID]
Ghosh A: College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Renewable Energy, University of Exeter, Cornwall TR10 9FE, UK [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
9
First Page
2404
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-04-23
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en14092404, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.31867
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doi:10.3390/en14092404
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Apr 19, 2023
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