LAPSE:2023.31705
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.31705
What Is the Macroeconomic Impact of Higher Decarbonization Speeds? The Case of Greece
April 19, 2023
In alignment with the European Union’s legislation, Greece submitted its final 10-year National Energy and Climate Plan (NECP) in December 2019, setting more ambitious energy and climate targets than those originally proposed in the draft version of the document. Apart from higher penetration of renewable energy sources (RES), the final NECP projects also zero carbon use in power generation till 2030. Although decarbonization has long been regarded beneficial for economies that base their energy production on coal, as it is the case with Greece, the macroeconomic and societal ramifications of faster transitions to carbon-free economies remain highly unexplored. Under this context, in this paper, we soft-link energy models, namely Times-Greece and Primes, with a macroeconomic model, namely Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP), to measure the effects of the final and draft NECPs on the Greek economy and evaluate the impact of higher decarbonization speeds. We find that the faster transition scenario displays both economic and societal merits, increasing Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and household income by about 1% and 7%, respectively.
Keywords
computable general equilibrium modeling, delignitization, double dividends, energy modeling, energy transition, Greece, macroeconomic impacts
Suggested Citation
Koutsandreas D, Spiliotis E, Doukas H, Psarras J. What Is the Macroeconomic Impact of Higher Decarbonization Speeds? The Case of Greece. (2023). LAPSE:2023.31705
Author Affiliations
Koutsandreas D: Decision Support Systems Lab (EPU-NTUA), School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 157 73 Athens, Greece [ORCID]
Spiliotis E: Forecasting and Strategy Unit, School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 157 73 Athens, Greece [ORCID]
Doukas H: Decision Support Systems Lab (EPU-NTUA), School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 157 73 Athens, Greece [ORCID]
Psarras J: Decision Support Systems Lab (EPU-NTUA), School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, National Technical University of Athens, 157 73 Athens, Greece
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
8
First Page
2235
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-04-16
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en14082235, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.31705
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doi:10.3390/en14082235
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Apr 19, 2023
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