LAPSE:2023.31452
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.31452
Load Forecasting Based on Genetic Algorithm−Artificial Neural Network-Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems: A Case Study in Iraq
Ahmed Mazin Majid AL-Qaysi, Altug Bozkurt, Yavuz Ates
April 18, 2023
This study focuses on the important issue of predicting electricity load for efficient energy management. To achieve this goal, different statistical methods were compared, and results over time were analyzed using various ratios and layers for training and testing. This study uses an artificial neural network (ANN) model with advanced prediction techniques such as genetic algorithms (GA) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference systems (ANFIS). This article stands out with a comprehensive compilation of many features and methodologies previously presented in other studies. This study uses a long-term pattern in the prediction process and achieves the lowest relative error values by using hourly divided annual data for testing and training. Data samples were applied to different algorithms, and we examined their effects on load predictions to understand the relationship between various factors and electrical load. This study shows that the ANN−GA model has good accuracy and low error rates for load predictions compared to other models, resulting in the best performance for our system.
Keywords
adaptive neuro-based fuzzy inference system, artificial neural network, electrical load forecasting, genetic algorithms
Suggested Citation
AL-Qaysi AMM, Bozkurt A, Ates Y. Load Forecasting Based on Genetic Algorithm−Artificial Neural Network-Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems: A Case Study in Iraq. (2023). LAPSE:2023.31452
Author Affiliations
AL-Qaysi AMM: Department of Electrical Engineering, Yildiz Technical University, 34220 Istanbul, Turkey
Bozkurt A: Department of Electrical Engineering, Yildiz Technical University, 34220 Istanbul, Turkey [ORCID]
Ates Y: Department of Electrical Electronics Engineering, Manisa Celal Bayar University, 45140 Manisa, Turkey [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
16
Issue
6
First Page
2919
Year
2023
Publication Date
2023-03-22
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en16062919, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.31452
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doi:10.3390/en16062919
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Apr 18, 2023
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