LAPSE:2023.29352
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.29352
The Degree of Polymerization in a Prediction Model of Insulating Paper and the Remaining Life of Power Transformers
April 13, 2023
Abstract
The aging of power transformers causes several defects and damages in the insulating system, especially in the insulating paper. The degradation of the insulating paper generates dissolved gases in the insulating oil, which are measured by gas chromatography and used as an indicator of the insulation status. The state of the insulating paper can be identified based on the degree of polymerization (DP) measurement. In some cases, when the measurement of DP is difficult, estimating DP can be accomplished through gathering information about some of the testing parameters, such as the dissolved gases (DGA), breakdown voltage (BDV), oil interfacial tension (IF), oil acidity (ACI), moisture content (MC), oil color (OC), dielectric loss (Tan δ), and furans concentration specifically (2-furfuraldhyde (FA)). The statistical tools (correlation and multiple linear regression), based on 131 transformer samples, can be used to build a relation linking DP and one or more of the previous parameters to identify the insulating paper status and the percentage of remaining life of the transformer. The results indicated that it is difficult to build a mathematical model to relate between the DP and the testing variables, except with FA, where the trend of DP with FA is more obvious than with other variables. The empirical formula to compute DP based on the FA concentration was developed and gave promising results to compute DP and the remaining life of the power transformers.
The aging of power transformers causes several defects and damages in the insulating system, especially in the insulating paper. The degradation of the insulating paper generates dissolved gases in the insulating oil, which are measured by gas chromatography and used as an indicator of the insulation status. The state of the insulating paper can be identified based on the degree of polymerization (DP) measurement. In some cases, when the measurement of DP is difficult, estimating DP can be accomplished through gathering information about some of the testing parameters, such as the dissolved gases (DGA), breakdown voltage (BDV), oil interfacial tension (IF), oil acidity (ACI), moisture content (MC), oil color (OC), dielectric loss (Tan δ), and furans concentration specifically (2-furfuraldhyde (FA)). The statistical tools (correlation and multiple linear regression), based on 131 transformer samples, can be used to build a relation linking DP and one or more of the previous parameters to identify the insulating paper status and the percentage of remaining life of the transformer. The results indicated that it is difficult to build a mathematical model to relate between the DP and the testing variables, except with FA, where the trend of DP with FA is more obvious than with other variables. The empirical formula to compute DP based on the FA concentration was developed and gave promising results to compute DP and the remaining life of the power transformers.
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Keywords
correlation, degree of polymerization, furfuraldehyde, insulating paper, multiple linear regression, power transformers
Subject
Suggested Citation
Ghoneim SSM. The Degree of Polymerization in a Prediction Model of Insulating Paper and the Remaining Life of Power Transformers. (2023). LAPSE:2023.29352
Author Affiliations
Ghoneim SSM: Electrical Engineering Department, College of Engineering, Taif University, Taif 21944, Saudi Arabia [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
3
First Page
670
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-01-28
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en14030670, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.29352
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en14030670
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Apr 13, 2023
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