LAPSE:2023.28975
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.28975
Risk Assessment in Energy Infrastructure Installations by Horizontal Directional Drilling Using Machine Learning
April 12, 2023
Nowadays we can observe a growing demand for installations of new gas pipelines in Europe. A large number of them are installed using trenchless Horizontal Directional Drilling (HDD) technology. The aim of this work was to develop and compare new machine learning models dedicated for risk assessment in HDD projects. The data from 133 HDD projects from eight countries of the world were gathered, profiled, and preprocessed. Three machine learning models, logistic regression, random forests, and Artificial Neural Network (ANN), were developed to predict the overall HDD project outcome (failure free installation or installation likely to fail), and the occurrence of identified unwanted events. The best performance in terms of recall and accuracy was achieved for the developed ANN model, which proved to be efficient, fast and robust in predicting risks in HDD projects. Machine learning applications in the proposed models enabled eliminating the involvement of a group of experts in the risk assessment process and therefore significantly lower the costs associated with the risk assessment process. Future research may be oriented towards developing a comprehensive risk management system, which will enable dynamic risk assessment taking into account various combinations of risk mitigation actions.
Keywords
energy infrastructure, Horizontal Directional Drilling, Machine Learning, pipeline installation, risk assessment
Suggested Citation
Krechowicz M, Krechowicz A. Risk Assessment in Energy Infrastructure Installations by Horizontal Directional Drilling Using Machine Learning. (2023). LAPSE:2023.28975
Author Affiliations
Krechowicz M: Faculty of Management and Computer Modelling, Kielce University of Technology, Al. 1000-lecia Państwa Polskiego 7, 25-314 Kielce, Poland [ORCID]
Krechowicz A: Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Automatic Control and Computer Science, Kielce University of Technology, Al. 1000-lecia Państwa Polskiego 7, 25-314 Kielce, Poland [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
2
Article Number
en14020289
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-01-07
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en14020289, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.28975
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doi:10.3390/en14020289
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Apr 12, 2023
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