LAPSE:2023.28442
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.28442
PV Power Prediction, Using CNN-LSTM Hybrid Neural Network Model. Case of Study: Temixco-Morelos, México
Mario Tovar, Miguel Robles, Felipe Rashid
April 11, 2023
Abstract
Due to the intermittent nature of solar energy, accurate photovoltaic power predictions are very important for energy integration into existing energy systems. The evolution of deep learning has also opened the possibility to apply neural network models to predict time series, achieving excellent results. In this paper, a five layer CNN-LSTM model is proposed for photovoltaic power predictions using real data from a location in Temixco, Morelos in Mexico. In the proposed hybrid model, the convolutional layer acts like a filter, extracting local features of the data; then the temporal features are extracted by the long short-term memory network. Finally, the performance of the hybrid model with five layers is compared with a single model (a single LSTM), a CNN-LSTM hybrid model with two layers and two well known popular benchmarks. The results also shows that the hybrid neural network model has better prediction effect than the two layer hybrid model, the single prediction model, the Lasso regression or the Ridge regression.
Keywords
CNN, LSTM, Microgrids, Neural Networks, PV power predictions
Suggested Citation
Tovar M, Robles M, Rashid F. PV Power Prediction, Using CNN-LSTM Hybrid Neural Network Model. Case of Study: Temixco-Morelos, México. (2023). LAPSE:2023.28442
Author Affiliations
Tovar M: Energy Systems Department, Instituto de Energías Renovables, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Priv. Xochicalco S/N Temixco, Morelos 62580, Mexico
Robles M: Energy Systems Department, Instituto de Energías Renovables, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Priv. Xochicalco S/N Temixco, Morelos 62580, Mexico [ORCID]
Rashid F: Energy Systems Department, Instituto de Energías Renovables, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, Priv. Xochicalco S/N Temixco, Morelos 62580, Mexico
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
24
Article Number
E6512
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-12-10
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
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PII: en13246512, Publication Type: Journal Article
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en13246512
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