Abstract
The uncertainty of generation and load increases in the transmission network in the power market. Considering the transmission congestion risk caused by various uncertainties of the transmission network, the optimal operation strategies of the transmission network under various operational scenarios are decided, aiming for the maximum of social benefit for the evaluation of the degree of scenario congestion. Then, a screening method for major congestion scenario is proposed based on the shadow price theory. With the goal of maximizing the difference between the social benefits and the investment and maintenance costs of transmission lines under major congestion scenarios, a multi-stage transmission network planning model based on major congestion scenarios is proposed to determine the configuration of transmission lines in each planning stage. In this paper, the multi-stage transmission network planning is a mixed integer linear programming problem. The DC power flow model and the commercial optimization software CPLEX are applied to solve the problem to obtain the planning scheme. The improved six-node Garver power system and the simplified 25-node power system of Zhejiang Province, China are used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed multi-stage planning model.