LAPSE:2023.26380
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.26380
Effect of Time History on Normal Behaviour Modelling Using SCADA Data to Predict Wind Turbine Failures
April 3, 2023
Abstract
Operations and Maintenance (O&M) can make up a significant proportion of lifetime costs associated with any wind farm, with up to 30% reported for some offshore developments. It is increasingly important for wind farm owners and operators to optimise their assets in order to reduce the levelised cost of energy (LCoE). Reducing downtime through condition-based maintenance is a promising strategy of realising these goals. This is made possible through increased monitoring and gathering of operational data. SCADA data are useful in terms of wind turbine condition monitoring. This paper aims to perform a comprehensive comparison between two types of normal behaviour modelling: full signal reconstruction (FSRC) and autoregressive models with exogenous inputs (ARX). At the same time, the effects of the training time period on model performance are explored by considering models trained with both 12 and 6 months of data. Finally, the effects of time resolution are analysed for each algorithm by considering models trained and tested with both 10 and 60 min averaged data. Two different cases of wind turbine faults are examined. In both cases, the NARX model trained with 12 months of 10 min average Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition (SCADA) data had the best training performance.
Operations and Maintenance (O&M) can make up a significant proportion of lifetime costs associated with any wind farm, with up to 30% reported for some offshore developments. It is increasingly important for wind farm owners and operators to optimise their assets in order to reduce the levelised cost of energy (LCoE). Reducing downtime through condition-based maintenance is a promising strategy of realising these goals. This is made possible through increased monitoring and gathering of operational data. SCADA data are useful in terms of wind turbine condition monitoring. This paper aims to perform a comprehensive comparison between two types of normal behaviour modelling: full signal reconstruction (FSRC) and autoregressive models with exogenous inputs (ARX). At the same time, the effects of the training time period on model performance are explored by considering models trained with both 12 and 6 months of data. Finally, the effects of time resolution are analysed for each algorithm by considering models trained and tested with both 10 and 60 min averaged data. Two different cases of wind turbine faults are examined. In both cases, the NARX model trained with 12 months of 10 min average Supervisory Control And Data Acquisition (SCADA) data had the best training performance.
Record ID
Keywords
condition monitoring, neural networks, normal behaviour modelling, SCADA
Suggested Citation
McKinnon C, Turnbull A, Koukoura S, Carroll J, McDonald A. Effect of Time History on Normal Behaviour Modelling Using SCADA Data to Predict Wind Turbine Failures. (2023). LAPSE:2023.26380
Author Affiliations
McKinnon C: Centre for Doctoral Training of Wind and Marine Energy Systems, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1RD, UK [ORCID]
Turnbull A: Centre for Doctoral Training of Wind and Marine Energy Systems, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1RD, UK
Koukoura S: Centre for Doctoral Training of Wind and Marine Energy Systems, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1RD, UK [ORCID]
Carroll J: Centre for Doctoral Training of Wind and Marine Energy Systems, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1RD, UK
McDonald A: Centre for Doctoral Training of Wind and Marine Energy Systems, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1RD, UK
Turnbull A: Centre for Doctoral Training of Wind and Marine Energy Systems, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1RD, UK
Koukoura S: Centre for Doctoral Training of Wind and Marine Energy Systems, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1RD, UK [ORCID]
Carroll J: Centre for Doctoral Training of Wind and Marine Energy Systems, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1RD, UK
McDonald A: Centre for Doctoral Training of Wind and Marine Energy Systems, University of Strathclyde, Glasgow G1 1RD, UK
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
18
Article Number
E4745
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-09-11
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en13184745, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.26380
This Record
External Link

https://doi.org/10.3390/en13184745
Publisher Version
Download
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
203
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Apr 3, 2023
Verified by curator on
Apr 3, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.26380
Record Owner
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
