LAPSE:2023.21099
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.21099
Research and Application of a Novel Hybrid Model Based on a Deep Neural Network for Electricity Load Forecasting: A Case Study in Australia
March 21, 2023
Abstract
Electricity load forecasting plays an essential role in improving the management efficiency of power generation systems. A large number of load forecasting models aiming at promoting the forecasting effectiveness have been put forward in the past. However, many traditional models have no consideration for the significance of data preprocessing and the constraints of individual forecasting models. Moreover, most of them only focus on the forecasting accuracy but ignore the forecasting stability, resulting in nonoptimal performance in practical applications. This paper presents a novel hybrid model that combines an advanced data preprocessing strategy, a deep neural network, and an avant-garde multi-objective optimization algorithm, overcoming the defects of traditional models and thus improving the forecasting performance effectively. In order to evaluate the validity of the proposed hybrid model, the electricity load data sampled in 30-min intervals from Queensland, Australia are used as a case to study. The experiments show that the new proposed model is obviously superior to all other traditional models. Furthermore, it provides an effective technical forecasting means for smart grid management.
Electricity load forecasting plays an essential role in improving the management efficiency of power generation systems. A large number of load forecasting models aiming at promoting the forecasting effectiveness have been put forward in the past. However, many traditional models have no consideration for the significance of data preprocessing and the constraints of individual forecasting models. Moreover, most of them only focus on the forecasting accuracy but ignore the forecasting stability, resulting in nonoptimal performance in practical applications. This paper presents a novel hybrid model that combines an advanced data preprocessing strategy, a deep neural network, and an avant-garde multi-objective optimization algorithm, overcoming the defects of traditional models and thus improving the forecasting performance effectively. In order to evaluate the validity of the proposed hybrid model, the electricity load data sampled in 30-min intervals from Queensland, Australia are used as a case to study. The experiments show that the new proposed model is obviously superior to all other traditional models. Furthermore, it provides an effective technical forecasting means for smart grid management.
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Keywords
data preprocessing strategy, deep neural network, electricity load forecasting, hybrid model, multi-objective optimization algorithm
Suggested Citation
Ni K, Wang J, Tang G, Wei D. Research and Application of a Novel Hybrid Model Based on a Deep Neural Network for Electricity Load Forecasting: A Case Study in Australia. (2023). LAPSE:2023.21099
Author Affiliations
Ni K: School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
Wang J: School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
Tang G: School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
Wei D: School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
Wang J: School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
Tang G: School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
Wei D: School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
12
Issue
13
Article Number
E2467
Year
2019
Publication Date
2019-06-26
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en12132467, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.21099
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en12132467
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Mar 21, 2023
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