LAPSE:2023.20994
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.20994
A Short-Term Data Based Water Consumption Prediction Approach
Rafael Benítez, Carmen Ortiz-Caraballo, Juan Carlos Preciado, José M. Conejero, Fernando Sánchez Figueroa, Alvaro Rubio-Largo
March 21, 2023
A smart water network consists of a large number of devices that measure a wide range of parameters present in distribution networks in an automatic and continuous way. Among these data, you can find the flow, pressure, or totalizer measurements that, when processed with appropriate algorithms, allow for leakage detection at an early stage. These algorithms are mainly based on water demand forecasting. Different approaches for the prediction of water demand are available in the literature. Although they present successful results at different levels, they have two main drawbacks: the inclusion of several seasonalities is quite cumbersome, and the fitting horizons are not very large. With the aim of solving these problems, we present the application of pattern similarity-based techniques to the water demand forecasting problem. The use of these techniques removes the need to determine the annual seasonality and, at the same time, extends the horizon of prediction to 24 h. The algorithm has been tested in the context of a real project for the detection and location of leaks at an early stage by means of demand forecasting, and good results were obtained, which are also presented in this paper.
Keywords
forecasting, machine-learning, pattern-based, Water
Suggested Citation
Benítez R, Ortiz-Caraballo C, Preciado JC, Conejero JM, Sánchez Figueroa F, Rubio-Largo A. A Short-Term Data Based Water Consumption Prediction Approach. (2023). LAPSE:2023.20994
Author Affiliations
Benítez R: Departamento Matemáticas para la economía y la empresa, Universidad de Valencia, 46022 Valencia, Spain
Ortiz-Caraballo C: Departamento de Matemáticas, Universidad de Extremadura, 10071 Cáceres, Spain
Preciado JC: Departamento Ingeniería Sistemas Informáticos y Telemáticos, Universidad de Extremadura, 10071 Cáceres, Spain [ORCID]
Conejero JM: Departamento Ingeniería Sistemas Informáticos y Telemáticos, Universidad de Extremadura, 10071 Cáceres, Spain [ORCID]
Sánchez Figueroa F: Homeria Open Solutions, Cáceres, 10071 Cáceres, Spain [ORCID]
Rubio-Largo A: NOVA Information Management School, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, 1070-312 Lisbon, Portugal
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
12
Issue
12
Article Number
E2359
Year
2019
Publication Date
2019-06-19
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en12122359, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.20994
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doi:10.3390/en12122359
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Mar 21, 2023
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