LAPSE:2023.20417
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.20417
An Analysis of Dynamic Correlations among Oil, Natural Gas and Ethanol Markets: New Evidence from the Pre- and Post-COVID-19 Crisis
Derick Quintino, Cristiane Ogino, Inzamam Ul Haq, Paulo Ferreira, Márcia Oliveira
March 17, 2023
Abstract
After the economic shock caused by COVID-19, with relevant effects on both the supply and demand for energy assets, there was greater interest in understanding the relationships between key energy prices. In order to contribute to a deeper understanding of energy price relationships, this paper analyzes the dynamics between the weekly spot prices of oil, natural gas and benchmark ethanol in the US markets. The analysis period started on 23 June 2006 and ended on 10 June 2022. This study used the DMCA cross-correlation coefficient in a dynamic way, using sliding windows. Among the main results, it was found that: (i) in the post-pandemic period, oil and natural gas were not correlated, in both short- and long-term timescales; and (ii) ethanol was negatively associated with natural gas in the most recent post-pandemic period, especially in short-term scales. The results of the present study are potentially relevant for both market and public agents regarding investment diversification strategies and can aid public policies due to the understanding of the interrelationship between energy prices.
Keywords
cross-correlation, detrending moving average, Henry Hub prices, sliding windows, US ethanol prices, WTI prices
Suggested Citation
Quintino D, Ogino C, Haq IU, Ferreira P, Oliveira M. An Analysis of Dynamic Correlations among Oil, Natural Gas and Ethanol Markets: New Evidence from the Pre- and Post-COVID-19 Crisis. (2023). LAPSE:2023.20417
Author Affiliations
Quintino D: Independent Researcher, Anchieta Street, 697, Nova Odessa 13380-009, São Paulo, Brazil [ORCID]
Ogino C: Center for Advanced Studies on Applied Economics, “Luiz de Queiroz” College of Agriculture, University of São Paulo (CEPEAESALQUSP), Piracicaba 13400-970, São Paulo, Brazil
Haq IU: Business School, Liaoning University, Shenyang 110036, China [ORCID]
Ferreira P: VALORIZA—Research Center for Endogenous Resource Valorization, 7300-555 Portalegre, Portugal; Department of Economic Sciences and Organizations, Polytechnic Institute of Portalegre, 7300-555 Portalegre, Portugal; Center for Advanced Studies in Managemen [ORCID]
Oliveira M: Department of Economic Sciences and Organizations, Polytechnic Institute of Portalegre, 7300-555 Portalegre, Portugal
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
16
Issue
5
First Page
2349
Year
2023
Publication Date
2023-02-28
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en16052349, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.20417
This Record
External Link

https://doi.org/10.3390/en16052349
Publisher Version
Download
Files
Mar 17, 2023
Main Article
License
CC BY 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
257
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Mar 17, 2023
 
Verified by curator on
Mar 17, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.20417
 
Record Owner
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Publisher Version
(0.08 seconds)

[0.08 s]