LAPSE:2023.18743
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.18743
A Comparative Analysis of the ARIMA and LSTM Predictive Models and Their Effectiveness for Predicting Wind Speed
March 8, 2023
Abstract
Forecasting wind speed has become one of the most attractive topics to researchers in the field of renewable energy due to its use in generating clean energy, and the capacity for integrating it into the electric grid. There are several methods and models for time series forecasting at the present time. Advancements in deep learning methods characterize the possibility of establishing a more developed multistep prediction model than shallow neural networks (SNNs). However, the accuracy and adequacy of long-term wind speed prediction is not yet well resolved. This study aims to find the most effective predictive model for time series, with less errors and higher accuracy in the predictions, using artificial neural networks (ANNs), recurrent neural networks (RNNs), and long short-term memory (LSTM), which is a special type of RNN model, compared to the common autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA). The results are measured by the root mean square error (RMSE) method. The comparison result shows that the LSTM method is more accurate than ARIMA.
Keywords
ARIMA, forecasting, LSTM, wind speed
Suggested Citation
Elsaraiti M, Merabet A. A Comparative Analysis of the ARIMA and LSTM Predictive Models and Their Effectiveness for Predicting Wind Speed. (2023). LAPSE:2023.18743
Author Affiliations
Elsaraiti M: Division of Engineering, Saint Mary’s University, Halifax, NS B3H 3C3, Canada [ORCID]
Merabet A: Division of Engineering, Saint Mary’s University, Halifax, NS B3H 3C3, Canada [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
20
First Page
6782
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-10-18
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en14206782, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.18743
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en14206782
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