LAPSE:2023.16909v1
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.16909v1
Project Portfolio Selection of Solar Energy by Photovoltaic Generation Using Gini-CAPM Multi-Criteria and Considering ROI Covariations
March 3, 2023
Abstract
For some time, renewable solar energy generations using cellular photovoltaic panels have stood out among the options, especially in the segment of micro and small companies, where the return on investment is usually higher. In this context, when micro and small companies do not have the capital for the enterprises, several others, mainly small ones, have emerged to finance. However, significant difficulties occur for financiers in selecting investment portfolios, especially when considering the trade-off between return and risk and the covariations of return on investment, which are very common. In this type of selection, the Capital Asset Pricing Model criteria using the Gini risk can help significantly because this one is a more robust risk coefficient for assessments of non-normal probability distributions. However, searches for methods that meet the selection needs using the adjacent criteria are unsuccessful. Thus, this work seeks to help minimize the gap by presenting a new method for selection using the criteria. Historical and simulations data stochastic evaluations indicate that the portfolios selected by the method are attractive options for implementations. These portfolios have reasonable probabilistic expectations and satisfactory protection to avoid mistakes caused for not considering covariations in return on investment, which indicates a significant advance on the current knowledge frontier and will likely allow the increased use of the concept. The method also presents theoretical contributions in adaptations of the benchmark models, which help to minimize the adjacent literary gap of similar methods.
For some time, renewable solar energy generations using cellular photovoltaic panels have stood out among the options, especially in the segment of micro and small companies, where the return on investment is usually higher. In this context, when micro and small companies do not have the capital for the enterprises, several others, mainly small ones, have emerged to finance. However, significant difficulties occur for financiers in selecting investment portfolios, especially when considering the trade-off between return and risk and the covariations of return on investment, which are very common. In this type of selection, the Capital Asset Pricing Model criteria using the Gini risk can help significantly because this one is a more robust risk coefficient for assessments of non-normal probability distributions. However, searches for methods that meet the selection needs using the adjacent criteria are unsuccessful. Thus, this work seeks to help minimize the gap by presenting a new method for selection using the criteria. Historical and simulations data stochastic evaluations indicate that the portfolios selected by the method are attractive options for implementations. These portfolios have reasonable probabilistic expectations and satisfactory protection to avoid mistakes caused for not considering covariations in return on investment, which indicates a significant advance on the current knowledge frontier and will likely allow the increased use of the concept. The method also presents theoretical contributions in adaptations of the benchmark models, which help to minimize the adjacent literary gap of similar methods.
Record ID
Keywords
financial feasibility, photovoltaic solar energy microgeneration, project portfolios selection, renewable energy sources, social welfare, trade-off between Gini risk and return considering covariations
Subject
Suggested Citation
Isaias JC, Balestrassi PP, Marcondes GAB, Silva WVD, Pereira Mello CH, Veiga CPD. Project Portfolio Selection of Solar Energy by Photovoltaic Generation Using Gini-CAPM Multi-Criteria and Considering ROI Covariations. (2023). LAPSE:2023.16909v1
Author Affiliations
Isaias JC: Institute of Industrial Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajubá, Itajubá 37500-903, Brazil
Balestrassi PP: Institute of Industrial Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajubá, Itajubá 37500-903, Brazil
Marcondes GAB: Department of Computer Science, National Institute of Telecommunications, Santa Rita do Sapucaí 37504-000, Brazil
Silva WVD: Faculty of Economics, Administration and Accounting, Federal University of Alagoas, Maceió 57072-970, Brazil [ORCID]
Pereira Mello CH: Institute of Industrial Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajubá, Itajubá 37500-903, Brazil
Veiga CPD: Department of General and Applied Administration, Federal University of Parana, Curitiba 80210-170, Brazil [ORCID]
Balestrassi PP: Institute of Industrial Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajubá, Itajubá 37500-903, Brazil
Marcondes GAB: Department of Computer Science, National Institute of Telecommunications, Santa Rita do Sapucaí 37504-000, Brazil
Silva WVD: Faculty of Economics, Administration and Accounting, Federal University of Alagoas, Maceió 57072-970, Brazil [ORCID]
Pereira Mello CH: Institute of Industrial Engineering and Management, Federal University of Itajubá, Itajubá 37500-903, Brazil
Veiga CPD: Department of General and Applied Administration, Federal University of Parana, Curitiba 80210-170, Brazil [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
14
Issue
24
First Page
8374
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-12-12
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en14248374, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.16909v1
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en14248374
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