LAPSE:2023.14808
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.14808
Methane Concentration Prediction Method Based on Deep Learning and Classical Time Series Analysis
March 1, 2023
Abstract
Methane is one of the most dangerous gases encountered in the mining industry. During mining operations, methane can be broadly classified into three states: mining excavation, stoppage safety check, and abnormal methane concentration, which is usually a precursor to a gas accident, such as a coal and gas outburst. Consequently, it is vital to accurately predict methane concentrations. Herein, we apply three deep learning methods—a recurrent neural network (RNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), and a gated recurrent unit (GRU)—to the problem of methane concentration prediction and evaluate their efficacy. In addition, we propose a novel prediction method that combines classical time series analysis with these deep learning models. The results revealed that GRU has the least root mean square error (RMSE) loss of the three models. The RMSE loss can be further reduced by approximately 35% by using the proposed combined approach, and the models are also less likely to result in overfitting. Therefore, combining deep learning methods with classical time series analysis can provide accurate methane concentration prediction and improve mining safety.
Methane is one of the most dangerous gases encountered in the mining industry. During mining operations, methane can be broadly classified into three states: mining excavation, stoppage safety check, and abnormal methane concentration, which is usually a precursor to a gas accident, such as a coal and gas outburst. Consequently, it is vital to accurately predict methane concentrations. Herein, we apply three deep learning methods—a recurrent neural network (RNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), and a gated recurrent unit (GRU)—to the problem of methane concentration prediction and evaluate their efficacy. In addition, we propose a novel prediction method that combines classical time series analysis with these deep learning models. The results revealed that GRU has the least root mean square error (RMSE) loss of the three models. The RMSE loss can be further reduced by approximately 35% by using the proposed combined approach, and the models are also less likely to result in overfitting. Therefore, combining deep learning methods with classical time series analysis can provide accurate methane concentration prediction and improve mining safety.
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Keywords
deep learning, methane concentration prediction, mining safety, recurrent neural network, time series analysis
Suggested Citation
Meng X, Chang H, Wang X. Methane Concentration Prediction Method Based on Deep Learning and Classical Time Series Analysis. (2023). LAPSE:2023.14808
Author Affiliations
Meng X: School of Economics and Management, Anhui University of Science & Technology, Huainan 232000, China; State Key Laboratory of Mining Response and Disaster Prevention and Control in Deep Coal Mines, Anhui University of Science and Technology, Huainan 232000
Chang H: School of Economics and Management, Anhui University of Science & Technology, Huainan 232000, China
Wang X: School of Economics and Management, Anhui University of Science & Technology, Huainan 232000, China
Chang H: School of Economics and Management, Anhui University of Science & Technology, Huainan 232000, China
Wang X: School of Economics and Management, Anhui University of Science & Technology, Huainan 232000, China
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
15
Issue
6
First Page
2262
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-03-20
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en15062262, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.14808
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en15062262
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