LAPSE:2023.13734
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.13734
Machine Learning Short-Term Energy Consumption Forecasting for Microgrids in a Manufacturing Plant
March 1, 2023
Abstract
Energy production and supply are important challenges for civilisation. Renewable energy sources present an increased share of the energy supply. Under these circumstances, small-scale grids operating in small areas as fully functioning energy systems are becoming an interesting solution. One crucial element to the success of micro-grid structures is the accurate forecasting of energy consumption by large customers, such as factories. This study aimed to develop a universal forecasting tool for energy consumption by end-use consumers. The tool estimates energy use based on real energy-consumption data obtained from a factory or a production machine. This model allows the end-users to be equipped with an energy demand prediction, enabling them to participate more effectively in the smart grid energy market. A single, long short-term memory (LSTM)-layer-based artificial neural network model for short-term energy demand prediction was developed. The model was based on a manufacturing plant’s energy consumption data. The model is characterised by high prediction capability, and it predicted energy consumption, with a mean absolute error value of 0.0464. The developed model was compared with two other methodologies.
Keywords
energy consumption, LSTM, microgrids, short-term forecasting, smart grids
Suggested Citation
Slowik M, Urban W. Machine Learning Short-Term Energy Consumption Forecasting for Microgrids in a Manufacturing Plant. (2023). LAPSE:2023.13734
Author Affiliations
Slowik M: Faculty of Engineering Management, Bialystok University of Technology, Wiejska 45A, 15-351 Bialystok, Poland [ORCID]
Urban W: Faculty of Engineering Management, Bialystok University of Technology, Wiejska 45A, 15-351 Bialystok, Poland [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
15
Issue
9
First Page
3382
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-05-06
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
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PII: en15093382, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.13734
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en15093382
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