LAPSE:2023.13516
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.13516
On Solar Radiation Prediction for the East−Central European Region
March 1, 2023
Abstract
The aim of this paper is to present the results of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model of solar radiation for moderate climatic zones. This analysis covered the area of northeastern Germany. Due to very unfavorable solar energy conditions in this region for at least 1/3 of the year, we decided to select the dates with the most representative conditions: passing warm fronts, cold fronts, and occluded fronts (two cases each). As the reference, two cloudless conditions during high-pressure situations were chosen. Two different shortwave radiation schemes—Rapid Radiative Transfer Model for general circulation model (RRTMG) and Dudhia—were tested. The obtained results were compared with in situ data measured at Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) stations and then with European Medium-Range Weather Forecast reanalysis (ERA5) data. The results showed that for high-pressure situations, the mean correlations with measured data were above 90%. The Dudhia scheme, in addition to the expected good results for the high-pressure situation, showed better results than RRTMG for the warm and cold fronts as well. The forecast using the RRTMG scheme gave the best results for the occluded front, which were also better than those of the ERA5 model.
Keywords
meteorologic fronts, solar energy, solar radiation, weather prediction, WRF
Suggested Citation
Mierzwiak M, Kroszczyński K, Araszkiewicz A. On Solar Radiation Prediction for the East−Central European Region. (2023). LAPSE:2023.13516
Author Affiliations
Mierzwiak M: Faculty of Civil Engrineering and Geodesy, Military University of Technology, Gen. S. Kaliskiego 2, 00-908 Warsaw, Poland [ORCID]
Kroszczyński K: Faculty of Civil Engrineering and Geodesy, Military University of Technology, Gen. S. Kaliskiego 2, 00-908 Warsaw, Poland [ORCID]
Araszkiewicz A: Faculty of Civil Engrineering and Geodesy, Military University of Technology, Gen. S. Kaliskiego 2, 00-908 Warsaw, Poland [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
15
Issue
9
First Page
3153
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-04-26
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
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PII: en15093153, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.13516
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en15093153
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