LAPSE:2023.10957
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.10957
A Bibliometric Analysis of Solar Energy Forecasting Studies in Africa
Nosipho Zwane, Henerica Tazvinga, Christina Botai, Miriam Murambadoro, Joel Botai, Jaco de Wit, Brighton Mabasa, Siphamandla Daniel, Tafadzwanashe Mabhaudhi
February 27, 2023
Abstract
Solar energy forecasting is considered an essential scientific aspect in supporting efforts to integrate solar energy into power grids. Moreover, solar energy forecasting plays an essential role in mitigating greenhouse gas emissions and conserving energy for future use. This study conducted a bibliometric analysis to assess solar energy forecasting research studies evolution at the continental (Africa) and southern Africa levels. Key aspects of analysis included (i) scientific research trends, (ii) nature of collaboration networks, (iii) co-occurrence of keywords and (iv) emerging themes in solar energy forecasting over the last two decades, between the years 2000−2021. The results indicate that solar energy forecasting research has, on average, expanded by 6.4% and 3.3% in Africa and southern Africa, respectively. Based on the study context, solar energy forecasting research only gained momentum in 2015, peaking in 2019, but it is generally still subtle. The scientific mapping illustrated that only South Africa ranks among the leading countries that have produced high numbers of published documents and also leads in contributions to the research area in both Africa and southern Africa. Three emerging topics were identified from the thematic map analysis—namely, “solar irradiance”, “artificial intelligence” and “clear sky”, which implies that researchers are paying attention to solar irradiance, using modelling techniques that incorporate machine learning techniques. Overall, this study contributes to scientific information on the potential bankability of renewable energy projects that could assist power utilities, governments and policymakers in Africa to enforce the green economy through accelerated decarbonisation of the energy systems and building relationships with developed countries for support and better transitioning to solar energy. From a Water−Energy−Food nexus perspective, the results of this work could assist the scientific community in Africa to take advantage of the inherent interconnectedness of water, energy and food resources, whilst also advancing the use of integrated solutions to shape the focus of solar energy research into a more systems thinking and transdisciplinary approach involving the interconnected primary resources and stakeholders pursuit of the Sustainable Development Goals.
Keywords
bibliometric review, current trends, emerging topics, low-carbon economy, thematic map analysis
Suggested Citation
Zwane N, Tazvinga H, Botai C, Murambadoro M, Botai J, de Wit J, Mabasa B, Daniel S, Mabhaudhi T. A Bibliometric Analysis of Solar Energy Forecasting Studies in Africa. (2023). LAPSE:2023.10957
Author Affiliations
Zwane N: South African Weather Service, Private Bag X097, Pretoria 0001, South Africa; Department of Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria, Private Bag X20, Hatfield Pretoria 0028, South Africa
Tazvinga H: South African Weather Service, Private Bag X097, Pretoria 0001, South Africa [ORCID]
Botai C: South African Weather Service, Private Bag X097, Pretoria 0001, South Africa [ORCID]
Murambadoro M: South African Weather Service, Private Bag X097, Pretoria 0001, South Africa
Botai J: South African Weather Service, Private Bag X097, Pretoria 0001, South Africa; Department of Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria, Private Bag X20, Hatfield Pretoria 0028, South Africa; Centre for Transformative Agricultural an [ORCID]
de Wit J: South African Weather Service, Private Bag X097, Pretoria 0001, South Africa
Mabasa B: South African Weather Service, Private Bag X097, Pretoria 0001, South Africa [ORCID]
Daniel S: South African Weather Service, Private Bag X097, Pretoria 0001, South Africa
Mabhaudhi T: Centre for Transformative Agricultural and Food Systems, School of Agriculture, Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of KwaZulu Natal, Scottsville, Pietermaritzburg 3209, South Africa; International Water Management Institute (IWMI-GH), West Afric [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
15
Issue
15
First Page
5520
Year
2022
Publication Date
2022-07-29
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en15155520, Publication Type: Review
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LAPSE:2023.10957
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en15155520
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