LAPSE:2019.1486
Published Article
LAPSE:2019.1486
A Novel Multi-Objective Optimal Approach for Wind Power Interval Prediction
Mengyue Hu, Zhijian Hu, Jingpeng Yue, Menglin Zhang, Meiyu Hu
December 10, 2019
Numerous studies on wind power forecasting show that random errors found in the prediction results cause uncertainty in wind power prediction and cannot be solved effectively using conventional point prediction methods. In contrast, interval prediction is gaining increasing attention as an effective approach as it can describe the uncertainty of wind power. A wind power interval forecasting approach is proposed in this article. First, the original wind power series is decomposed into a series of subseries using variational mode decomposition (VMD); second, the prediction model is established through kernel extreme learning machine (KELM). Three indices are taken into account in a novel objective function, and the improved artificial bee colony algorithm (IABC) is used to search for the best wind power intervals. Finally, when compared with other competitive methods, the simulation results show that the proposed approach has much better performance.
Keywords
artificial bee colony algorithm, kernel extreme learning machine, prediction intervals, variational mode decomposition, wind power prediction
Suggested Citation
Hu M, Hu Z, Yue J, Zhang M, Hu M. A Novel Multi-Objective Optimal Approach for Wind Power Interval Prediction. (2019). LAPSE:2019.1486
Author Affiliations
Hu M: School of Electrical Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Hu Z: School of Electrical Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China [ORCID]
Yue J: School of Electrical Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Zhang M: School of Electrical Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
Hu M: School of Electrical Engineering, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
10
Issue
4
Article Number
E419
Year
2017
Publication Date
2017-03-23
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en10040419, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2019.1486
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doi:10.3390/en10040419
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Dec 10, 2019
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Dec 10, 2019
 
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Calvin Tsay
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