LAPSE:2020.1098
Published Article
LAPSE:2020.1098
Performance Prediction Model of Solid Oxide Fuel Cell System Based on Neural Network Autoregressive with External Input Method
Shan-Jen Cheng, Jing-Kai Lin
November 9, 2020
An accurate performance prediction model for the solid oxide fuel cell (SOFC) system not only contributes to the realization of the operating condition but also plays a role in long-term prediction performance. Accordingly, a research study has been developed to suitably deal with the time-series model and accurately build the performance prediction model of SOFC system based on neural network autoregressive with external input (NNARX) method. The architecture regressor parameters of the NNARX model were efficiently determined using the Taguchi orthogonal array (OA) method for optimal sets. The identified and evaluated optimal parameter levels were used to conduct an analysis of variance (ANOVA) to prove correctness. Moreover, a series of statistics criteria and multi-step prediction were also employed for investigating the uncertainty of the predicted model and solve the overfitting and under fitting problems; further. These criteria were also used to determine the performance of the proposed model architecture. The predicted results of the current study indicated that the developed optimal model level parameters consistently had the least statistics errors and reduced workload of the trial-and-error processes.
Keywords
multi-step prediction, NNARX model, SOFC, Taguchi orthogonal array
Suggested Citation
Cheng SJ, Lin JK. Performance Prediction Model of Solid Oxide Fuel Cell System Based on Neural Network Autoregressive with External Input Method. (2020). LAPSE:2020.1098
Author Affiliations
Cheng SJ: Department of Aircraft Engineering, Army Academy R.O.C, Taoyuan 32092, Taiwan [ORCID]
Lin JK: Institute of Nuclear Energy Research, R.O.C, Taoyuan 32092, Taiwan
Journal Name
Processes
Volume
8
Issue
7
Article Number
E828
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-07-13
Published Version
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
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PII: pr8070828, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2020.1098
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doi:10.3390/pr8070828
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Nov 9, 2020
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Nov 9, 2020
 
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Original Submitter
Calvin Tsay
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