LAPSE:2018.1121
Published Article
LAPSE:2018.1121
Hybridization of Chaotic Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization with SVR in Electric Demand Forecasting
Min-Liang Huang
November 28, 2018
In existing forecasting research papers support vector regression with chaotic mapping function and evolutionary algorithms have shown their advantages in terms of forecasting accuracy improvement. However, for classical particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithms, trapping in local optima results in an earlier standstill of the particles and lost activities, thus, its core drawback is that eventually it produces low forecasting accuracy. To continue exploring possible improvements of the PSO algorithm, such as expanding the search space, this paper applies quantum mechanics to empower each particle to possess quantum behavior, to enlarge its search space, then, to improve the forecasting accuracy. This investigation presents a support vector regression (SVR)-based load forecasting model which hybridizes the chaotic mapping function and quantum particle swarm optimization algorithm with a support vector regression model, namely the SVRCQPSO (support vector regression with chaotic quantum particle swarm optimization) model, to achieve more accurate forecasting performance. Experimental results indicate that the proposed SVRCQPSO model achieves more accurate forecasting results than other alternatives.
Keywords
chaotic quantum particle swarm optimization (CQPSO), electric load forecasting, quantum behavior, support vector regression (SVR)
Suggested Citation
Huang ML. Hybridization of Chaotic Quantum Particle Swarm Optimization with SVR in Electric Demand Forecasting. (2018). LAPSE:2018.1121
Author Affiliations
Huang ML: Department of Industrial Management, Oriental Institute of Technology/58 Sec. 2, Sichuan Rd, Panchiao, New Taipei 220, Taiwan
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
9
Issue
6
Article Number
E426
Year
2016
Publication Date
2016-05-31
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en9060426, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2018.1121
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doi:10.3390/en9060426
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Nov 28, 2018
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Nov 28, 2018
 
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Calvin Tsay
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