LAPSE:2023.23861v1
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.23861v1
Multi-Objective Optimization Model EPLANopt for Energy Transition Analysis and Comparison with Climate-Change Scenarios
Matteo Giacomo Prina, Giampaolo Manzolini, David Moser, Roberto Vaccaro, Wolfram Sparber
March 27, 2023
The modeling of energy systems with high penetration of renewables is becoming more relevant due to environmental and security issues. Researchers need to support policy makers in the development of energy policies through results from simulating tools able to guide them. The EPLANopt model couples a multi-objective evolutionary algorithm to EnergyPLAN simulation software to study the future best energy mix. In this study, EPLANopt is applied at country level to the Italian case study to assess the best configurations of the energy system in 2030. A scenario, the result of the optimization, is selected and compared to the Italian integrated energy and climate action plan scenario. It allows a further reduction of CO2 emissions equal to 10% at the same annual costs of the Italian integrated energy and climate action plan scenario. Both these results are then compared to climate change scenarios through the carbon budget indicator. This comparison shows the difficulties to meet the Paris Agreement target of limiting the temperature increase to 1.5 °C. The results also show that this target can only be met through an increase in the total annual costs in the order of 25% with respect to the integrated energy and climate action plan scenario. However, the study also shows how the shift in expenditure from fossil fuels, external expenses, to investment on the national territory represents an opportunity to enhance the national economy.
Keywords
climate-change, energy scenarios, EPLANopt, multi-objective optimization, photovoltaics, Wind
Suggested Citation
Prina MG, Manzolini G, Moser D, Vaccaro R, Sparber W. Multi-Objective Optimization Model EPLANopt for Energy Transition Analysis and Comparison with Climate-Change Scenarios. (2023). LAPSE:2023.23861v1
Author Affiliations
Prina MG: EURAC Research, Institute for Renewable Energy, Viale Druso 1, I-39100 Bolzano, Italy [ORCID]
Manzolini G: Dipartimento di energia, Politecnico di Milano, Via Lambruschini, 4, 20156 Milano (MI), Italy [ORCID]
Moser D: EURAC Research, Institute for Renewable Energy, Viale Druso 1, I-39100 Bolzano, Italy
Vaccaro R: EURAC Research, Institute for Renewable Energy, Viale Druso 1, I-39100 Bolzano, Italy
Sparber W: EURAC Research, Institute for Renewable Energy, Viale Druso 1, I-39100 Bolzano, Italy
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
12
Article Number
E3255
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-06-23
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en13123255, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.23861v1
This Record
External Link

doi:10.3390/en13123255
Publisher Version
Download
Files
[Download 1v1.pdf] (5.2 MB)
Mar 27, 2023
Main Article
License
CC BY 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
138
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Mar 27, 2023
 
Verified by curator on
Mar 27, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.23861v1
 
Original Submitter
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Publisher Version