LAPSE:2018.0634
Published Article
LAPSE:2018.0634
A Bottom-Up Model for Household Load Profile Based on the Consumption Behavior of Residents
Bingtuan Gao, Xiaofeng Liu, Zhenyu Zhu
September 21, 2018
The forecasting of the load profile of the domestic sector is an area of increased concern for the power grid as it appears in many applications, such as grid operations, demand side management, energy trading, and so forth. Accordingly, a bottom-up forecasting framework is presented in this paper based upon bottom level data about the electricity consumption of household appliances. In the proposed framework, a load profile for group households is obtained with a similar day extraction module, household behavior analysis module, and household behavior prediction module. Concretely, similar day extraction module is the core of the prediction and is employed to extract similar historical days by considering the external environmental and household internal influence factors on energy consumption. The household behavior analysis module is used to analyse and formulate the consumption behavior probability of appliances according to the statistical characteristics of appliances’ switch state in historical similar days. Based on the former two modules, household behavior prediction module is responsible for the load profile of group households. Finally, a case study based on the measured data in a practical residential community is performed to illustrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed bottom-up household load forecasting approach.
Keywords
bottom-up, consumption behavior, household load profile, similar day
Suggested Citation
Gao B, Liu X, Zhu Z. A Bottom-Up Model for Household Load Profile Based on the Consumption Behavior of Residents. (2018). LAPSE:2018.0634
Author Affiliations
Gao B: School of Electrical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China
Liu X: School of Electrical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China
Zhu Z: School of Electrical Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
11
Issue
8
Article Number
E2112
Year
2018
Publication Date
2018-08-14
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en11082112, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2018.0634
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doi:10.3390/en11082112
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Sep 21, 2018
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Sep 21, 2018
 
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Calvin Tsay
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