Proceedings of ESCAPE 35ISSN: 2818-4734
Volume: 4 (2025)
Table of Contents
LAPSE:2025.0319
Published Article
LAPSE:2025.0319
Machine Learning-Aided Robust Optimisation for Identifying Optimal Operational Spaces under Uncertainty
Sam Kay, Mengjia Zhu, Amanda Lane, Jane Shaw, Philip Martin, Dongda Zhang
June 27, 2025
Abstract
Process optimisation and quality control are crucial in process industries for minimising product waste and improving plant economics. Identifying robust operational regions that ensure both product quality and performance is particularly valued in industries. However, this task is complicated by operational uncertainties, which can lead to violations of product quality constraints and significant batch discards. We propose a novel robust optimisation strategy that integrates advanced machine learning and process systems engineering to systematically identify optimal operational regions under uncertainty. Our approach begins by using a process model to screen a broad operational space across various uncertainty scenarios, pinpointing promising control trajectories to satisfy process constraints and product quality. Machine learning is then employed to cluster these trajectories into sub-regions. Finally, a two-layer dynamic optimisation framework is employed to determine the optimal control trajectory and corresponding operable space within each promising sub-region. To demonstrate the efficiency of our approach, we used a case study focusing on the quality control of a dynamic batch process for formulation product manufacturing. The resulting operational regions were shown to meet product quality demands and offer a significant improvement in optimality over the current operation, highlighting the advantage and industrial potential of our strategy.
Keywords
Dynamic optimisation, Machine Learning, Operational regions, Optimisation under uncertainty, Process control
Suggested Citation
Kay S, Zhu M, Lane A, Shaw J, Martin P, Zhang D. Machine Learning-Aided Robust Optimisation for Identifying Optimal Operational Spaces under Uncertainty. Systems and Control Transactions 4:1041-1046 (2025) https://doi.org/10.69997/sct.188062
Author Affiliations
Kay S: Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK
Zhu M: Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK
Lane A: Unilever R&D Port Sunlight, Bromborough Road, Bebington, Wirral, CH63 3JW, UK
Shaw J: Unilever R&D Port Sunlight, Bromborough Road, Bebington, Wirral, CH63 3JW, UK
Martin P: Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK
Zhang D: Department of Chemical Engineering, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK
Journal Name
Systems and Control Transactions
Volume
4
First Page
1041
Last Page
1046
Year
2025
Publication Date
2025-07-01
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: 1041-1046-1279-SCT-4-2025, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2025.0319
This Record
External Link

https://doi.org/10.69997/sct.188062
Article DOI
Download
Files
Jun 27, 2025
Main Article
License
CC BY-SA 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
823
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Jun 27, 2025
 
Verified by curator on
Jun 27, 2025
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2025.0319
 
Record Owner
PSE Press
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Article DOI
References Cited
  1. A. Hicks et al., "A two-step multivariate statistical learning approach for batch process soft sensing," Digital Chemical Engineering, vol. 1, p. 100003, Dec. 2021 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.dche.2021.100003
  2. H. Efheij, A. Albagul, and N. A. Albraiki, "Comparison of Model Predictive Control and PID Controller in Real Time Process Control System," 19th International Conference on Sciences and Techniques of Automatic Control and Computer Engineering, STA 2019, pp. 64-69, May 2019 https://doi.org/10.1109/STA.2019.8717271
  3. H. S. Asad, R. K. K. Yuen, and G. Huang, "Multiplexed real-time optimization of HVAC systems with enhanced control stability," Appl Energy, vol. 187, pp. 640-651, Feb. 2017 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.11.081
  4. Q. P. Zheng, J. Wang, and A. L. Liu, "Stochastic Optimization for Unit Commitment - A Review," IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, vol. 30, no. 4, pp. 1913-1924, Jul. 2015 https://doi.org/10.1109/TPWRS.2014.2355204
  5. J. Silvente, L. G. Papageorgiou, and V. Dua, "Scenario tree reduction for optimisation under uncertainty using sensitivity analysis," Comput Chem Eng, vol. 125, pp. 449-459, Jun. 2019 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compchemeng.2019.03.043
  6. T. Forster, D. Vázquez, I. F. Moreno-Palancas, and G. Guillén-Gosálbez, "Algebraic surrogate-based flexibility analysis of process units with complicating process constraints," Comput Chem Eng, vol. 184, p. 108630, May 2024 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compchemeng.2024.108630
  7. J. Djuris and Z. Djuric, "Modeling in the quality by design environment: Regulatory requirements and recommendations for design space and control strategy appointment," Int J Pharm, vol. 533, no. 2, pp. 346-356, Nov. 2017 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijpharm.2017.05.070
  8. T. Homem-de-Mello and G. Bayraksan, "Monte Carlo sampling-based methods for stochastic optimization," Surveys in Operations Research and Management Science, vol. 19, no. 1, pp. 56-85, Jan. 2014 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sorms.2014.05.001
  9. N. Murugesan, I. Cho, and C. Tortora, "Benchmarking in Cluster Analysis: A Study on Spectral Clustering, DBSCAN, and K-Means," Studies in Classification, Data Analysis, and Knowledge Organization, vol. 5, pp. 175-185, 2021 https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-60104-1_20
  10. A. W. Rogers et al., "Integrating knowledge-guided symbolic regression and model-based design of experiments to automate process flow diagram development," May 2024 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ces.2024.120580
(0.08 seconds)

[0.09 s]