LAPSE:2023.36588
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.36588
Estimating APC Model Parameters for Dynamic Intervals Determined Using Change-Point Detection in Continuous Processes in the Petrochemical Industry
September 20, 2023
Abstract
Several papers have proven that advanced process controller (APC) systems can save more energy in the process than proportional-integral-differential (PID) controller systems. Therefore, implementing an APC system is ultimately beneficial for saving energy in the plant. In a typical APC system deployment, the APC model parameters are calculated from dynamic data intervals obtained through the plant test. However, depending on the proficiency of the APC engineer, the results of the plant test and the APC model parameters are implemented differently. To minimize the influence of the APC engineer and calculate universal APC model parameters, a technique is needed to obtain dynamic data without a plant test. In this study, we utilize time-series data from a real petrochemical plant to determine dynamic intervals and estimate APC model parameters, which have not been investigated in previous studies. This involves extracting the data of the dynamic intervals with the smallest mean absolute error (MAE) by utilizing statistical techniques such as pruned exact linear time, linear kernel, and radial basis function kernel of change-point detection (CPD). After that, we fix the hyper parameters at the minimum MAE value and estimate the APC model parameters by training with the data from the dynamic intervals. The estimated APC model parameters are applied to the APC program to compare the APC model fitting rate and verify the accuracy of the APC model parameters in the dynamic intervals obtained through CPD. The final validation of the model fitting rates demonstrates that the identification of the dynamic intervals and the estimation of the APC model parameters through CPD show high accuracy. We show that it is possible to estimate APC model parameters from dynamic intervals determined by CPD without a plant test.
Several papers have proven that advanced process controller (APC) systems can save more energy in the process than proportional-integral-differential (PID) controller systems. Therefore, implementing an APC system is ultimately beneficial for saving energy in the plant. In a typical APC system deployment, the APC model parameters are calculated from dynamic data intervals obtained through the plant test. However, depending on the proficiency of the APC engineer, the results of the plant test and the APC model parameters are implemented differently. To minimize the influence of the APC engineer and calculate universal APC model parameters, a technique is needed to obtain dynamic data without a plant test. In this study, we utilize time-series data from a real petrochemical plant to determine dynamic intervals and estimate APC model parameters, which have not been investigated in previous studies. This involves extracting the data of the dynamic intervals with the smallest mean absolute error (MAE) by utilizing statistical techniques such as pruned exact linear time, linear kernel, and radial basis function kernel of change-point detection (CPD). After that, we fix the hyper parameters at the minimum MAE value and estimate the APC model parameters by training with the data from the dynamic intervals. The estimated APC model parameters are applied to the APC program to compare the APC model fitting rate and verify the accuracy of the APC model parameters in the dynamic intervals obtained through CPD. The final validation of the model fitting rates demonstrates that the identification of the dynamic intervals and the estimation of the APC model parameters through CPD show high accuracy. We show that it is possible to estimate APC model parameters from dynamic intervals determined by CPD without a plant test.
Record ID
Keywords
advanced process control, change-point detection, continuous process, model parameter estimation, petrochemical
Subject
Suggested Citation
Yu Y, Lee M, Lee C, Cheon Y, Baek S, Kim Y, Kim K, Jung H, Lim D, Byun H, Jeong J. Estimating APC Model Parameters for Dynamic Intervals Determined Using Change-Point Detection in Continuous Processes in the Petrochemical Industry. (2023). LAPSE:2023.36588
Author Affiliations
Yu Y: Department of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea; Infotrol Technology, 159-1 Mokdongseo-ro, Yangcheon-gu, Seoul 07997, Republic of Korea [ORCID]
Lee M: Department of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea; Infotrol Technology, 159-1 Mokdongseo-ro, Yangcheon-gu, Seoul 07997, Republic of Korea
Lee C: Department of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Cheon Y: Department of Statistics, Sungkyunkwan University, 25-2 Sungkyunkwan-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul 03063, Republic of Korea
Baek S: Department of Chemical Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Kim Y: Department of Chemical Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Kim K: Department of Chemical Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Jung H: Department of Mechanical Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Lim D: Department of System Management Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Byun H: Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Jeong J: Department of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea [ORCID]
Lee M: Department of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea; Infotrol Technology, 159-1 Mokdongseo-ro, Yangcheon-gu, Seoul 07997, Republic of Korea
Lee C: Department of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Cheon Y: Department of Statistics, Sungkyunkwan University, 25-2 Sungkyunkwan-ro, Jongno-gu, Seoul 03063, Republic of Korea
Baek S: Department of Chemical Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Kim Y: Department of Chemical Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Kim K: Department of Chemical Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Jung H: Department of Mechanical Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Lim D: Department of System Management Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Byun H: Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea
Jeong J: Department of Smart Factory Convergence, Sungkyunkwan University, 2066 Seobu-ro, Jangan-gu, Suwon 16419, Republic of Korea [ORCID]
Journal Name
Processes
Volume
11
Issue
8
First Page
2229
Year
2023
Publication Date
2023-07-25
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
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PII: pr11082229, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.36588
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https://doi.org/10.3390/pr11082229
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[v1] (Original Submission)
Sep 20, 2023
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Sep 20, 2023
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Calvin Tsay
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