LAPSE:2023.26037
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.26037
Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Based on Similar Day-Based Neural Network
Chun-Yao Lee, Chang-En Wu
March 31, 2023
Abstract
This paper presents four refined distance models to the application of forecasting short-term electricity price namely Euclidean norm, Manhattan distance, cosine coefficient, and Pearson correlation coefficient. The four refined models were constructed and used to select the days, which are like a reference day in electricity prices and loads, called similar days in this study. Using the similar days, the electricity prices of a forecast day were further obtained by similar day regression (SDR) and similar day based artificial neural network (SDANN). The simulation results of the case of the PJM (Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Maryland) interchange energy market indicate the superiority and availability of the selection 45 framework days and three similar days based on Pearson correlation coefficient model.
Keywords
artificial neural network, electricity price, linear regression, similar-day method
Suggested Citation
Lee CY, Wu CE. Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting Based on Similar Day-Based Neural Network. (2023). LAPSE:2023.26037
Author Affiliations
Lee CY: Department of Electrical Engineering, Chung Yuan Christian University, No. 200, Zhongbei Road, Zhongli District, Taoyuan City 320, Taiwan
Wu CE: Department of Electrical Engineering, Chung Yuan Christian University, No. 200, Zhongbei Road, Zhongli District, Taoyuan City 320, Taiwan
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
17
Article Number
E4408
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-08-26
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en13174408, Publication Type: Journal Article
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en13174408
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