LAPSE:2023.25891
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.25891
Simulating Power Generation from Photovoltaics in the Polish Power System Based on Ground Meteorological Measurements—First Tests Based on Transmission System Operator Data
March 31, 2023
The Polish power system is undergoing a slow process of transformation from coal to one that is renewables dominated. Although coal will remain a fundamental fuel in the coming years, the recent upsurge in installed capacity of photovoltaic (PV) systems should draw significant attention. Owning to the fact that the Polish Transmission System Operator recently published the PV hourly generation time series in this article, we aim to explore how well those can be modeled based on the meteorological measurements provided by the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management. The hourly time series of PV generation on a country level and irradiation, wind speed, and temperature measurements from 23 meteorological stations covering one month are used as inputs to create an artificial neural network. The analysis indicates that available measurements combined with artificial neural networks can simulate PV generation on a national level with a mean percentage error of 3.2%.
Keywords
artificial neural networks, national power system, photovoltaics
Suggested Citation
Jurasz J, Wdowikowski M, Figurski M. Simulating Power Generation from Photovoltaics in the Polish Power System Based on Ground Meteorological Measurements—First Tests Based on Transmission System Operator Data. (2023). LAPSE:2023.25891
Author Affiliations
Jurasz J: Department of Engineering Management, Faculty of Management, AGH University, 30-059 Cracow, Poland; School of Business, Society and Engineering, MDH University, 722-20 Västerås, Sweden [ORCID]
Wdowikowski M: Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-National Research Institute, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland [ORCID]
Figurski M: Institute of Meteorology and Water Management-National Research Institute, 01-673 Warsaw, Poland; Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Gdansk University of Technology, 80-233 Gdansk, Poland [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
16
Article Number
E4255
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-08-17
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en13164255, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.25891
This Record
External Link

doi:10.3390/en13164255
Publisher Version
Download
Files
[Download 1v1.pdf] (2.2 MB)
Mar 31, 2023
Main Article
License
CC BY 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
54
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Mar 31, 2023
 
Verified by curator on
Mar 31, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.25891
 
Original Submitter
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Publisher Version