LAPSE:2023.24611
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.24611
Bollinger Bands Based on Exponential Moving Average for Statistical Monitoring of Multi-Array Photovoltaic Systems
March 28, 2023
Monitoring the performance of a photovoltaic (PV) system when environmental parameters are not available is very difficult. Comparing the energy datasets of the arrays belonging to the same PV plant is one strategy. If the extension of a PV plant is limited, all the arrays are subjected to the same environmental conditions. Therefore, identical arrays produce the same energy amount, whatever the solar radiation and cell temperature. This is valid for small- to medium-rated power PV plants (3−50 kWp) and, moreover, this typology of PV plants sometimes is not equipped with a meteorological sensor system. This paper presents a supervision methodology based on comparing the average energy of each array and the average energy of the whole PV plant. To detect low-intensity anomalies before they become failures, the variability of the energy produced by each array is monitored by using the Bollinger Bands (BB) method. This is a statistical tool developed in the financial field to evaluate the stock price volatility. This paper introduces two modifications in the standard BB method: the exponential moving average (EMA) instead of the simple moving average (SMA), and the size of the width of BB, set to three times the standard deviation instead of four times. Until the produced energy of each array is contained in the BB, a serious anomaly is not present. A case study based on a real operating 19.8 kWp PV plant is discussed.
Keywords
bollinger bands, exponential moving average, Fault Detection, low-intensity anomaly, photovoltaic systems, statistical monitoring, upper/lower band
Suggested Citation
Vergura S. Bollinger Bands Based on Exponential Moving Average for Statistical Monitoring of Multi-Array Photovoltaic Systems. (2023). LAPSE:2023.24611
Author Affiliations
Vergura S: Department of Electrical and Information Engineering, Polytechnic University of Bari, st. E. Orabona 4, I-70125 Bari, Italy [ORCID]
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
15
Article Number
E3992
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-08-03
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en13153992, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2023.24611
This Record
External Link

doi:10.3390/en13153992
Publisher Version
Download
Files
[Download 1v1.pdf] (4.7 MB)
Mar 28, 2023
Main Article
License
CC BY 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
91
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Mar 28, 2023
 
Verified by curator on
Mar 28, 2023
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2023.24611
 
Original Submitter
Auto Uploader for LAPSE
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Publisher Version