LAPSE:2023.23489
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.23489
Models for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Improved Artificial Neural Network Using Particle Swarm Optimization and Genetic Algorithms
Dinh Thanh Viet, Vo Van Phuong, Minh Quan Duong, Quoc Tuan Tran
March 27, 2023
As sources of conventional energy are alarmingly being depleted, leveraging renewable energy sources, especially wind power, has been increasingly important in the electricity market to meet growing global demands for energy. However, the uncertainty in weather factors can cause large errors in wind power forecasts, raising the cost of power reservation in the power system and significantly impacting ancillary services in the electricity market. In pursuance of a higher accuracy level in wind power forecasting, this paper proposes a double-optimization approach to developing a tool for forecasting wind power generation output in the short term, using two novel models that combine an artificial neural network with the particle swarm optimization algorithm and genetic algorithm. In these models, a first particle swarm optimization algorithm is used to adjust the neural network parameters to improve accuracy. Next, the genetic algorithm or another particle swarm optimization is applied to adjust the parameters of the first particle swarm optimization algorithm to enhance the accuracy of the forecasting results. The models were tested with actual data collected from the Tuy Phong wind power plant in Binh Thuan Province, Vietnam. The testing showed improved accuracy and that this model can be widely implemented at other wind farms.
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Suggested Citation
Viet DT, Phuong VV, Duong MQ, Tran QT. Models for Short-Term Wind Power Forecasting Based on Improved Artificial Neural Network Using Particle Swarm Optimization and Genetic Algorithms. (2023). LAPSE:2023.23489
Author Affiliations
Viet DT: University of Science and Technology, The University of Danang, 54 Nguyen Luong Bang St., Lien Chieu District, Danang 550000, Vietnam [ORCID]
Phuong VV: Danang Power Company Ltd., 35 Phan Dinh Phung St., Danang 550000, Vietnam
Duong MQ: University of Science and Technology, The University of Danang, 54 Nguyen Luong Bang St., Lien Chieu District, Danang 550000, Vietnam [ORCID]
Tran QT: Univ. Grenoble-Alpes, CEA-LITEN, INES, 50 avenue du Lac LĂ©man, 73375 Le Bourget-du-Lac, France
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
11
Article Number
E2873
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-06-04
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en13112873, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.23489
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doi:10.3390/en13112873
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Mar 27, 2023
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