LAPSE:2023.23152
Published Article
LAPSE:2023.23152
Forecasting the Structure of Energy Production from Renewable Energy Sources and Biofuels in Poland
March 27, 2023
The world’s economic development depends on access to cheap energy sources. So far, energy has been obtained mainly from conventional sources like coal, gas and oil. Negative climate changes related to the high emissions of the economy based on the combustion of hydrocarbons and the growing public awareness have made it necessary to look for new ecological energy sources. This condition can be met by renewable energy sources. Both social pressure and international activities force changes in the structure of sources from which energy is produced. This also applies to the European Union countries, including Poland. There are no scientific studies in the area of forecasting energy production from renewable energy sources for Poland. Therefore, it is reasonable to investigate this subject since such a forecast can have a significant impact on investment decisions in the energy sector. At the same time, it must be as reliable as possible. That is why a modern method was used for this purpose, which undoubtedly involves artificial neural networks. The following article presents the results of the analysis of energy production from renewable energy sources in Poland and the forecasts for this production until 2025. Artificial neural networks were used to make the forecast. The analysis covered eight main sources from which this energy is produced in Poland. Based on the production volume since 1990, predicted volumes of renewable energy sources until 2025 were determined. These forecasts were prepared for all studied renewable energy sources. Renewable energy production plans and their share in total energy consumption in Poland were also examined and included in climate plans. The research was carried out using artificial neural networks. The results should be an important source of information on the effects of implementing climate policies in Poland. They should also be utilized to develop action plans to achieve the objectives of the European Green Deal strategy.
Keywords
climate policy, Energy, forecast, renewable energy sources, the European Green Deal
Suggested Citation
Brodny J, Tutak M, Saki SA. Forecasting the Structure of Energy Production from Renewable Energy Sources and Biofuels in Poland. (2023). LAPSE:2023.23152
Author Affiliations
Brodny J: Faculty of Organization and Management, Silesian University of Technology, 44-100 Gliwice, Poland [ORCID]
Tutak M: Faculty of Mining, Safety Engineering and Industrial Automation, Silesian University of Technology, 44-100 Gliwice, Poland [ORCID]
Saki SA: Mining Engineering Department, University of Engineering and Technology, Lahore 54890, Pakistan
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
13
Issue
10
Article Number
E2539
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-05-17
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en13102539, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2023.23152
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doi:10.3390/en13102539
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Mar 27, 2023
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