LAPSE:2022.0108
Published Article
LAPSE:2022.0108
Forecasting Quantitative Risk Indicators of Investors in Projects of Biohydrogen Production from Agricultural Raw Materials
October 30, 2022
Hydrogen is increasingly considered as an environmentally friendly energy source as it stores a large amount of chemical energy per unit mass (142 MJ·kg−1) that can be released without the emission of combustion by-products. The presented research is based on simulation modeling of biohydrogen production projects from agricultural waste. Based on the probability theory and mathematical statistics, the models of the variable market value of biohydrogen and natural gas are substantiated. The results of the research indicate that in 2019, projects regarding the production of biohydrogen from agricultural raw materials were mostly unprofitable for the investors. However, starting in 2030, the forecasted return on investment in biohydrogen production projects from agricultural raw materials indicates that such projects will be profitable for investors, and the number and scale of such projects will significantly increase worldwide.
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Keywords
biohydrogen, decarbonization, Hydrogen, market value
Subject
Suggested Citation
Tryhuba A, Hutsol T, Glowacki S, Tryhuba I, Tabor S, Kwasniewski D, Sorokin D, Yermakov S. Forecasting Quantitative Risk Indicators of Investors in Projects of Biohydrogen Production from Agricultural Raw Materials. (2022). LAPSE:2022.0108
Author Affiliations
Tryhuba A: Department of Information Systems and Technologies, Lviv National Agrarian University, 80381 Dublyany, Ukraine [ORCID]
Hutsol T: Institute of Energy, State Agrarian and Engineering University in Podilya, 32300 Kamianets-Podilskyi, Ukraine [ORCID]
Glowacki S: Institute of Mechanical Engineering, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, 02-776 Warsaw, Poland [ORCID]
Tryhuba I: Department of Information Systems and Technologies, Lviv National Agrarian University, 80381 Dublyany, Ukraine
Tabor S: Department of Production Engineering, Logistics and Applied Computer Science, Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture in Krakow, 30-149 Krakow, Poland
Kwasniewski D: Department of Production Engineering, Logistics and Applied Computer Science, Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture in Krakow, 30-149 Krakow, Poland
Sorokin D: Department of Electrical Engineering, Electromechanics and Electrotechnology, National University of Life and Environmental Science of Ukraine, 03041 Kyiv, Ukraine [ORCID]
Yermakov S: Institute of Energy, State Agrarian and Engineering University in Podilya, 32300 Kamianets-Podilskyi, Ukraine
Hutsol T: Institute of Energy, State Agrarian and Engineering University in Podilya, 32300 Kamianets-Podilskyi, Ukraine [ORCID]
Glowacki S: Institute of Mechanical Engineering, Warsaw University of Life Sciences, 02-776 Warsaw, Poland [ORCID]
Tryhuba I: Department of Information Systems and Technologies, Lviv National Agrarian University, 80381 Dublyany, Ukraine
Tabor S: Department of Production Engineering, Logistics and Applied Computer Science, Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture in Krakow, 30-149 Krakow, Poland
Kwasniewski D: Department of Production Engineering, Logistics and Applied Computer Science, Faculty of Production and Power Engineering, University of Agriculture in Krakow, 30-149 Krakow, Poland
Sorokin D: Department of Electrical Engineering, Electromechanics and Electrotechnology, National University of Life and Environmental Science of Ukraine, 03041 Kyiv, Ukraine [ORCID]
Yermakov S: Institute of Energy, State Agrarian and Engineering University in Podilya, 32300 Kamianets-Podilskyi, Ukraine
Journal Name
Processes
Volume
9
Issue
2
First Page
258
Year
2021
Publication Date
2021-01-29
Published Version
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: pr9020258, Publication Type: Journal Article
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Published Article
LAPSE:2022.0108
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External Link
doi:10.3390/pr9020258
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Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Oct 30, 2022
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Oct 30, 2022
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v1
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https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2022.0108
Original Submitter
Mina Naeini
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