LAPSE:2021.0734
Published Article
LAPSE:2021.0734
Advances and Gaps in Natech Quantitative Risk Analysis
Adriana Mesa-Gómez, Joaquim Casal, Mauricio Sánchez-Silva, Felipe Muñoz
September 22, 2021
The occurrence of Natech (natural hazard triggering technological disasters) accidents has generated a reflection about the need to manage adequately the risk to people, to the environment, and to the infrastructures subjected to natural events. For this reason, academia and industry have increased research in the process safety area in the last decade, strengthening quantitative risk analysis (QRA) methodologies for Natech events. However, these methodologies have some gaps that must be closed for a better decision-making process. In this communication a comparative analysis of the existing Natech QRA approaches is done, to highlight features and differences and to identify main gaps that should be addressed in future research. It can be mentioned that all the analyzed methodologies, which have been applied to floods, earthquakes, and lightning, are based on an initial one developed in 2007. The critical gap is that in all these methodologies, the final step is the risk calculation based on fatalities, and they do not consider the area-wide as an essential element in the risk analysis process.
Keywords
area-wide, Natech, natural event, process safety, risk
Subject
Suggested Citation
Mesa-Gómez A, Casal J, Sánchez-Silva M, Muñoz F. Advances and Gaps in Natech Quantitative Risk Analysis. (2021). LAPSE:2021.0734
Author Affiliations
Mesa-Gómez A: Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Universidad de los Andes, Cra 1 N, 18A-10, 111711 Bogotá, Colombia; Centre for Technological Risk Studies (CERTEC), Barcelona East School of Engineering (EEBE), Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, Barcel
Casal J: Centre for Technological Risk Studies (CERTEC), Barcelona East School of Engineering (EEBE), Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya, BarcelonaTech (UPC), 08019 Barcelona, Spain
Sánchez-Silva M: Civil and Environmental Engineering Department, Universidad de los Andes, Cra 1 N, 18A-10, 111711 Bogotá, Colombia
Muñoz F: Empresa Colombiana de Petróleos (ECOPETROL) S.A., Cra 7 No. 32-42, 111711 Bogotá, Colombia
Journal Name
Processes
Volume
9
Issue
1
First Page
pr9010040
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-12-26
Published Version
ISSN
2227-9717
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: pr9010040, Publication Type: Journal Article
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Published Article

LAPSE:2021.0734
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doi:10.3390/pr9010040
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Sep 22, 2021
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CC BY 4.0
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[v1] (Original Submission)
Sep 22, 2021
 
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Sep 22, 2021
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https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2021.0734
 
Original Submitter
Calvin Tsay
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