LAPSE:2021.0514
Published Article
LAPSE:2021.0514
Dog Rabies in Dhaka, Bangladesh, and Implications for Control
Masud M A, Md Hamidul Islam, Muhaiminul Islam Adnan, Chunyoung Oh
June 10, 2021
Controlling rabies among free-roaming street dogs has been a huge challenge in many parts of the world. Vaccination is a commonly used strategy to control rabies, however, sufficient vaccination coverage is very challenging when it comes to street dogs. Also, dog rabies data is scarce, making it difficult to develop proper strategies. In this study, we use a logistic growth incorporated epidemic model to understand the prevalence of rabies in the dog population of Dhaka, Bangladesh. The study shows that, the basic reproduction number for dog rabies in Dhaka lies between 1.1 to 1.249 and the environmental carrying capacity lies approximately between 58,110 to 194,739. Considering the vaccination and neuter programs administered in the last decade, we attempt to explain rabies transmission among dogs in this population. We found that the high basic reproduction number is associated with high environmental carrying capacity and vice versa. Further, we compare different type of control strategies, viz., constant vaccination, pulse vaccination, and optimal vaccination strategies. In the case of high environmental carrying capacity, vaccination, and neuter strategy is not sufficient for controlling rabies in street dogs, whereas carrying capacity control through waste management coupled with vaccination and neuter is more effective.
Keywords
carrying capacity control, dhaka, free-roaming, mathematical model, optimal control, rabies, stray dog, vaccination, waste management
Suggested Citation
A MM, Islam MH, Adnan MI, Oh C. Dog Rabies in Dhaka, Bangladesh, and Implications for Control. (2021). LAPSE:2021.0514
Author Affiliations
A MM: Department of Mathematics and Physics, North South University, Dhaka 1229, Bangladesh; Department of Mathematics, Pusan National University, Busan 46241, Korea [ORCID]
Islam MH: Department of Applied Mathematics, Rajshahi University, Rajshahi 6205, Bangladesh
Adnan MI: Institute of Natural Science, United International University, Dhaka 1229, Bangladesh
Oh C: Department of Mathematics Education, College of Education, Chonnam National University, Gwangju 61186, Korea
Journal Name
Processes
Volume
8
Issue
11
Article Number
E1513
Year
2020
Publication Date
2020-11-21
Published Version
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
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PII: pr8111513, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2021.0514
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doi:10.3390/pr8111513
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Jun 10, 2021
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Jun 10, 2021
 
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Jun 10, 2021
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Original Submitter
Calvin Tsay
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