LAPSE:2019.1539
Published Article
LAPSE:2019.1539
Simulation versus Optimisation: Theoretical Positions in Energy System Modelling
Henrik Lund, Finn Arler, Poul Alberg Østergaard, Frede Hvelplund, David Connolly, Brian Vad Mathiesen, Peter Karnøe
December 10, 2019
In recent years, several tools and models have been developed and used for the design and analysis of future national energy systems. Many of these models focus on the integration of various renewable energy resources and the transformation of existing fossil-based energy systems into future sustainable energy systems. The models are diverse and often end up with different results and recommendations. This paper analyses this diversity of models and their implicit or explicit theoretical backgrounds. In particular, two archetypes are defined and compared. On the one hand, the prescriptive investment optimisation or optimal solutions approach. On the other hand the analytical simulation or alternatives assessment approach. Awareness of the dissimilar theoretical assumption behind the models clarifies differences between the models, explains dissimilarities in results, and provides a theoretical and methodological foundation for understanding and interpreting results from the two archetypes.
Keywords
energy system analysis, investment optimisation models, modelling theory, Renewable and Sustainable Energy, simulations models
Suggested Citation
Lund H, Arler F, Østergaard PA, Hvelplund F, Connolly D, Mathiesen BV, Karnøe P. Simulation versus Optimisation: Theoretical Positions in Energy System Modelling. (2019). LAPSE:2019.1539
Author Affiliations
Lund H: Department of Planning, Aalborg University, Rendsburggade 14, 9000 Aalborg, Denmark [ORCID]
Arler F: Department of Planning, Aalborg University, Rendsburggade 14, 9000 Aalborg, Denmark
Østergaard PA: Department of Planning, Aalborg University, Rendsburggade 14, 9000 Aalborg, Denmark [ORCID]
Hvelplund F: Department of Planning, Aalborg University, Rendsburggade 14, 9000 Aalborg, Denmark
Connolly D: Department of Planning, Aalborg University, A.C. Meyers Vænge 15, 2450 Copenhagen, Denmark
Mathiesen BV: Department of Planning, Aalborg University, A.C. Meyers Vænge 15, 2450 Copenhagen, Denmark
Karnøe P: Department of Planning, Aalborg University, A.C. Meyers Vænge 15, 2450 Copenhagen, Denmark
[Login] to see author email addresses.
Journal Name
Energies
Volume
10
Issue
7
Article Number
E840
Year
2017
Publication Date
2017-06-23
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
Version Comments
Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en10070840, Publication Type: Journal Article
Record Map
Published Article

LAPSE:2019.1539
This Record
External Link

doi:10.3390/en10070840
Publisher Version
Download
Files
[Download 1v1.pdf] (796 kB)
Dec 10, 2019
Main Article
License
CC BY 4.0
Meta
Record Statistics
Record Views
530
Version History
[v1] (Original Submission)
Dec 10, 2019
 
Verified by curator on
Dec 10, 2019
This Version Number
v1
Citations
Most Recent
This Version
URL Here
https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2019.1539
 
Original Submitter
Calvin Tsay
Links to Related Works
Directly Related to This Work
Publisher Version