LAPSE:2018.0985
Published Article
LAPSE:2018.0985
The Impact of Financial Crisis on Electricity Demand: A Case Study of North China
Huiru Zhao, Haoran Zhao, Sen Guo, Fuqiang Li, Yuou Hu
November 27, 2018
Abstract
The electricity consumption and economic growth are highly correlated. The financial crisis in 2008 brought a negative effect on China’s economic growth, which also influenced the electricity consumption. The electricity demand of North China region was also greatly influenced by this financial crisis, the whole social electricity consumption growth rate of which decreased by 14.31% in 2008 compared to that in 2007. In order to analyze the random impulse effect of the financial crisis on the demand of electricity in North China, the monthly data is decomposed into deterministic trend, stochastic impact effect, and periodic trend using the Beveridge-Nelson decomposition method. After comparatively analyzing the impulse effect of the financial crisis on electricity consumption of six provinces in North China, we can draw the conclusions: (1) the electricity consumption of the whole society and the secondary industry are under larger negative impacts, and the random impulse effect of the secondary industry is more intense; and (2) the impact of the financial crisis on the tertiary industry, which is mainly influenced by seasonal changes, is smaller. Finally, some policy implications are proposed.
Keywords
Beveridge-Nelson decomposition method, electricity consumption, financial crisis, North China, stochastic impact effect
Suggested Citation
Zhao H, Zhao H, Guo S, Li F, Hu Y. The Impact of Financial Crisis on Electricity Demand: A Case Study of North China. (2018). LAPSE:2018.0985
Author Affiliations
Zhao H: School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
Zhao H: School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
Guo S: School of Economics and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China
Li F: North China Grid Company Limited, No. 482 Canton Avenue, Beijing Xuanwu District, Beijing 100053, China
Hu Y: North China Grid Company Limited, No. 482 Canton Avenue, Beijing Xuanwu District, Beijing 100053, China
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
9
Issue
4
Article Number
E250
Year
2016
Publication Date
2016-03-30
ISSN
1996-1073
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PII: en9040250, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2018.0985
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https://doi.org/10.3390/en9040250
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Calvin Tsay
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