LAPSE:2020.0160
Published Article
LAPSE:2020.0160
Integrated Forecasting Method for Wind Energy Management: A Case Study in China
Yao Dong, Lifang Zhang, Zhenkun Liu, Jianzhou Wang
February 3, 2020
Wind speed forecasting helps to increase the efficacy of wind farms and prompts the comparative superiority of wind energy in the global electricity system. Many wind speed forecasting theories have been widely applied to forecast wind speed, which is nonlinear, and unstable. Current forecasting strategies can be applied to various wind speed time series. However, some models neglect the prerequisite of data preprocessing and the objective of simultaneously optimizing accuracy and stability, which results in poor forecast. In this research, we developed a combined wind speed forecasting strategy that includes several components: data pretreatment, optimization, forecasting, and assessment. The developed system remedies some deficiencies in traditional single models and markedly enhances wind speed forecasting performance. To evaluate the performance of this combined strategy, 10-min wind speed sequences gathered from large wind farms in Shandong province in China were adopted as a case study. The simulation results show that the forecasting ability of our proposed combined strategy surpasses the other selected comparable models to some extent. Thus, the model can provide reliable support for wind power generation scheduling.
Keywords
combined model, data preprocessing technology, forecasting accuracy, multi-objective optimization algorithm, wind energy forecasting
Suggested Citation
Dong Y, Zhang L, Liu Z, Wang J. Integrated Forecasting Method for Wind Energy Management: A Case Study in China. (2020). LAPSE:2020.0160
Author Affiliations
Dong Y: School of Statistics, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China; Applied Statistics Research Center, Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics, Nanchang 330013, China
Zhang L: School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China [ORCID]
Liu Z: School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
Wang J: School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, Dalian 116025, China
Journal Name
Processes
Volume
8
Issue
1
Article Number
E35
Year
2019
Publication Date
2019-12-30
Published Version
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
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PII: pr8010035, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2020.0160
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doi:10.3390/pr8010035
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Feb 3, 2020
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CC BY 4.0
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Original Submitter
Calvin Tsay
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