LAPSE:2019.0930
Published Article
LAPSE:2019.0930
Gaussian Process-Based Hybrid Model for Predicting Oxygen Consumption in the Converter Steelmaking Process
Sheng-Long Jiang, Xinyue Shen, Zhong Zheng
August 8, 2019
Oxygen is one of the most important energies used in converter steelmaking processes of integrated iron and steel works. Precisely forecasting oxygen consumption before processing can benefit process control and energy optimization. This paper assumes there is a linear relationship between the oxygen consumption and input materials, and random noises are caused by other unmeasurable materials and unobserved reactions. Then, a novel hybrid prediction model integrating multiple linear regression (MLR) and Gaussian process regression (GPR) is introduced. In the hybrid model, the MLR method is developed to figure the global trend of the oxygen consumption, and the GPR method is applied to explore the local fluctuation caused by noise. Additionally, to accelerate the computational speed on the practical data set, a K-means clustering method is devised to respectively train a number of GPR models. The proposed hybrid model is validated with the actual data collected from an integrated iron and steel work in China, and compared with benchmark prediction models including MLR, artificial neural network, support vector machine and standard GPR. The forecasting results indicate that the suggested model is able to not only produce satisfactory point forecasts, but also estimate accurate probabilistic intervals.
Keywords
GPR, oxygen consumption, prediction model, steelmaking
Suggested Citation
Jiang SL, Shen X, Zheng Z. Gaussian Process-Based Hybrid Model for Predicting Oxygen Consumption in the Converter Steelmaking Process. (2019). LAPSE:2019.0930
Author Affiliations
Jiang SL: College of Materials Science and Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China [ORCID]
Shen X: College of Materials Science and Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China
Zheng Z: College of Materials Science and Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing 400044, China
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Journal Name
Processes
Volume
7
Issue
6
Article Number
E352
Year
2019
Publication Date
2019-06-08
Published Version
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
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PII: pr7060352, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2019.0930
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doi:10.3390/pr7060352
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Aug 8, 2019
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Aug 8, 2019
 
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Original Submitter
Calvin Tsay
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