LAPSE:2019.0885
Published Article
LAPSE:2019.0885
A Scenario-Based Optimization Model for Planning Sustainable Water-Resources Process Management under Uncertainty
Hongchang Miao, Donglin Li, Qiting Zuo, Lei Yu, Xiaoxia Fei, Lingang Hao
July 31, 2019
Discrepancies between water demand and supply are intensifying and creating a need for sustainable water resource process management associated with rapid economic development, population growth, and urban expansion. In this study, a scenario-based interval fuzzy-credibility constrained programming (SIFCP) method is developed for planning a water resource management system (WRMS) that can handle uncertain information by using interval values, fuzzy sets, and scenario analysis. The SIFCP-WRMS model is then applied to plan the middle route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project (SNWDP) in Henan Province, China. Solutions of different water distribution proportion scenarios and varied credibility levels are considered. Results reveal that different water-distribution proportion scenarios and uncertainties used in the SIFCP-WRMS model can lead to changed water allocations, sewage discharges, chemical oxygen demand (COD) emissions, and system benefits. Results also indicate that the variation of scenarios (i.e., from S2 to S3) can result in a change of 9% over the planning horizon for water allocation in the industrial sector. Findings can help decision-makers resolve conflicts among economic objective, water resource demand, and sewage discharge, as well as COD emissions.
Keywords
programming, scenario analysis, South-to-North Water Diversion Project of China, uncertainty, water-resources process management
Suggested Citation
Miao H, Li D, Zuo Q, Yu L, Fei X, Hao L. A Scenario-Based Optimization Model for Planning Sustainable Water-Resources Process Management under Uncertainty. (2019). LAPSE:2019.0885
Author Affiliations
Miao H: Henan Water & Power Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou 450016, China
Li D: School of Water Conservancy & Environment, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China; Zhengzhou Key Laboratory of Water Resource and Environment, Zhengzhou 450001, China
Zuo Q: School of Water Conservancy & Environment, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China; Zhengzhou Key Laboratory of Water Resource and Environment, Zhengzhou 450001, China
Yu L: School of Water Conservancy & Environment, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China; Zhengzhou Key Laboratory of Water Resource and Environment, Zhengzhou 450001, China
Fei X: Henan Water & Power Engineering Consulting Co., Ltd., Zhengzhou 450016, China
Hao L: School of Water Conservancy & Environment, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450001, China; Zhengzhou Key Laboratory of Water Resource and Environment, Zhengzhou 450001, China
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Journal Name
Processes
Volume
7
Issue
5
Article Number
E312
Year
2019
Publication Date
2019-05-24
Published Version
ISSN
2227-9717
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Original Submission
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PII: pr7050312, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2019.0885
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doi:10.3390/pr7050312
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Jul 31, 2019
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Jul 31, 2019
 
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Calvin Tsay
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