LAPSE:2018.1160
Published Article
LAPSE:2018.1160
Interdependencies between Biofuel, Fuel and Food Prices: The Case of the Brazilian Ethanol Market
Deborah Bentivoglio, Adele Finco, Mirian Rumenos Piedade Bacchi
November 28, 2018
Brazil is currently the world’s largest sugar producer and exporter, as well as the world’s largest producer and consumer of sugarcane ethanol as a transportation fuel. The growth of this market originates from a combination of government policies and technological change, in both the sugarcane ethanol processing sector and the manufacture of flex-fuel vehicles. In recent years however, ethanol production has been questioned due to its possible impact on food prices. The present paper aims to explore the impact of Brazilian ethanol prices on sugar and gasoline prices. The relationships between a times series of these prices are investigated using a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), supported by Granger Causality tests. In addition, Impulse Response Functions (IRFs) and Forecast Error Variance Decompositions (FEVD) are computed in order to investigate the dynamic interrelationships within these series. Our results suggest that ethanol prices are affected by both food and fuel prices, but that there is no strong evidence that changes in ethanol prices have an impact on food prices.
Keywords
Ethanol, Gasoline, granger causality, prices, sugar, Vector Error Correction Model (VECM)
Suggested Citation
Bentivoglio D, Finco A, Bacchi MRP. Interdependencies between Biofuel, Fuel and Food Prices: The Case of the Brazilian Ethanol Market. (2018). LAPSE:2018.1160
Author Affiliations
Bentivoglio D: Department of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Sciences (D3A), Università Politecnica delle Marche, Via Brecce Bianche, Ancona 60131, Italy [ORCID]
Finco A: Department of Agricultural, Food and Environmental Sciences (D3A), Università Politecnica delle Marche, Via Brecce Bianche, Ancona 60131, Italy [ORCID]
Bacchi MRP: Departamento de Economia Administração e Sociologia, Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz, Universidade de São Paulo, Av. Pádua Dias 11, Piracicaba, São Paulo 13400-970, Brazil
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
9
Issue
6
Article Number
E464
Year
2016
Publication Date
2016-06-17
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
Other Meta
PII: en9060464, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2018.1160
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doi:10.3390/en9060464
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Nov 28, 2018
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CC BY 4.0
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Nov 28, 2018
 
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Nov 28, 2018
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https://psecommunity.org/LAPSE:2018.1160
 
Original Submitter
Calvin Tsay
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