LAPSE:2018.1107
Published Article
LAPSE:2018.1107
A New Predictive Model Based on the ABC Optimized Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines Approach for Predicting the Remaining Useful Life in Aircraft Engines
November 28, 2018
Remaining useful life (RUL) estimation is considered as one of the most central points in the prognostics and health management (PHM). The present paper describes a nonlinear hybrid ABC⁻MARS-based model for the prediction of the remaining useful life of aircraft engines. Indeed, it is well-known that an accurate RUL estimation allows failure prevention in a more controllable way so that the effective maintenance can be carried out in appropriate time to correct impending faults. The proposed hybrid model combines multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), which have been successfully adopted for regression problems, with the artificial bee colony (ABC) technique. This optimization technique involves parameter setting in the MARS training procedure, which significantly influences the regression accuracy. However, its use in reliability applications has not yet been widely explored. Bearing this in mind, remaining useful life values have been predicted here by using the hybrid ABC⁻MARS-based model from the remaining measured parameters (input variables) for aircraft engines with success. A correlation coefficient equal to 0.92 was obtained when this hybrid ABC⁻MARS-based model was applied to experimental data. The agreement of this model with experimental data confirmed its good performance. The main advantage of this predictive model is that it does not require information about the previous operation states of the aircraft engine.
Keywords
aircraft engine, artificial bee colony (ABC), multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), prognostics, reliability, remaining useful life (RUL)
Suggested Citation
García Nieto PJ, García-Gonzalo E, Bernardo Sánchez A, Menéndez Fernández M. A New Predictive Model Based on the ABC Optimized Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines Approach for Predicting the Remaining Useful Life in Aircraft Engines. (2018). LAPSE:2018.1107
Author Affiliations
García Nieto PJ: Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Oviedo, C/Calvo Sotelo s/n, 33007 Oviedo, Spain [ORCID]
García-Gonzalo E: Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Oviedo, C/Calvo Sotelo s/n, 33007 Oviedo, Spain [ORCID]
Bernardo Sánchez A: Department of Mining Technology, Topography and Structures, University of León, 24071 León, Spain [ORCID]
Menéndez Fernández M: Department of Mining Technology, Topography and Structures, University of León, 24071 León, Spain [ORCID]
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Journal Name
Energies
Volume
9
Issue
6
Article Number
E409
Year
2016
Publication Date
2016-05-26
Published Version
ISSN
1996-1073
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Original Submission
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PII: en9060409, Publication Type: Journal Article
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LAPSE:2018.1107
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doi:10.3390/en9060409
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Nov 28, 2018
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Nov 28, 2018
 
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Calvin Tsay
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